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Bari 1908
4:30 PM
November 14, 2026
Foggia
Prediction published on Nov 12, 2026 4:33 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone C | Modified on Nov 12, 2026 4:33 PM
Bari 1908 host Foggia in Serie C: Girone C on Saturday, November 14, 2026, with kick-off at 16:30 local time at Stadio Comunale San Nicola. Bari are second in the standings, while Foggia are 16th, but neither side arrives in convincing form. The hosts have gone five matches without a win, and Foggia have lost three of their last five. Their previous meeting ended 2-2, although the more recent scoring figures suggest this encounter could be tighter.
Bari 1908 have won six, drawn five and lost two of their Serie C: Girone C matches this season, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Those season-long numbers contrast with their latest run: four draws and one defeat in five matches, with averages of 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. A 1-1 draw against Picerno on November 9 was the latest result in that winless sequence.
The pressure on Bari is about more than their league position. Following last season's relegation, the campaign has not met the expectations described in the build-up to this fixture. The hosts are second but nine points behind leaders Potenza, making a return to winning ways particularly important. They will have the opportunity to respond at home, though their recent draws show that turning a competitive performance into three points has not been straightforward.
Goals have been limited across Bari's matches. Under 3.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last 18 fixtures, including their last 13 in Serie C: Girone C and their last 12 at home. Three of their last 10 home matches finished without a goal, as did four of their last 18 matches overall. Bari have also avoided a half-time deficit in 19 of their last 21 home fixtures, a record that points to a side often capable of staying in contention even when victories prove elusive.
Foggia travel to Bari in 16th place after a difficult opening to their league campaign. Their Serie C: Girone C record stands at four wins, three draws and six defeats, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 conceded per match. The last five fixtures have brought one win, one draw and three losses. Over that shorter period, their scoring average has remained at 1.0, while their average goals conceded has risen to 1.8.
The visitors' most recent setback was a 1-0 home defeat to Barletta on November 9. The build-up also describes concern around Foggia after last season's relegation to Serie D and subsequent reprieve, with supporters having hoped for a more ambitious campaign. A result against second-placed Bari would offer a response, but their recent defensive figures underline the challenge they face.
Foggia's scoring average leaves little margin for error if they fall behind. At the same time, Bari's five-match winless run means the visitors cannot be dismissed solely on league position. Both teams have reasons to seek a change in momentum, yet neither brings a sustained run of victories into this match.
The contrast in the standings gives Bari 1908 the stronger season-long record, particularly defensively: they have conceded an average of 0.7 goals per league match compared with Foggia's 1.2. Their recent results make the picture less decisive. Bari have not won in five games, while Foggia's three defeats in five indicate that the visitors have also struggled to build consistency.
There is some history of goals in this fixture: the last head-to-head meeting ended 2-2 on February 26, 2022. Across the supplied head-to-head summary, Bari have two wins, two draws and one defeat against Foggia, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. That record offers context, but Bari's more recent sequence of low-scoring matches is the sharper guide to how Saturday's game may unfold.
Bari's last 18 fixtures have all stayed below four total goals, and their recent scoring average is below one per match. Foggia have conceded more frequently over their last five games, but have scored only 1.0 goal per match across both that stretch and the league season. The supplied over/under figures put Under 2.5 goals at 59%. Taken together, the figures point towards a match in which chances may be especially valuable, even with both sides eager for a result.
Bari 1908 vs Foggia prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 59% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Bari 1908
Foggia
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
3
7
4
6
2.5
7
3
6
4
3.5
10
0
6
4
4.5
10
0
9
1