Tools
Prediction published on Sep 26, 2025 3:29 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Sep 26, 2025 3:32 PM
The clash between Bari and Sampdoria in Serie B is set to be one of the most tense encounters of the fifth round. Scheduled for Saturday, September 27 at the Stadio San Nicola, this match brings together two historic clubs currently in deep crisis. Bari sit 19th in the table with just one point, while Sampdoria are bottom with no points at all. Both sides are desperate to avoid further setbacks, and the pressure on players and coaches alike is immense. With both teams struggling in attack and leaking goals at the back, this game could be more about survival than spectacle.
Bari enter this fixture after a difficult start to the season. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-0 defeat against Palermo on September 19, extending their winless run. In their last five matches, Bari have collected 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 defeats, scoring just 0.4 goals per game while conceding an average of 2.0. Their only point so far came from a draw against Monza, while defeats against Palermo, Modena, and Venezia have highlighted their defensive fragility. Despite these struggles, Bari may take some comfort from playing at home, where the support of the San Nicola crowd could provide a much-needed boost. However, their inability to score consistently remains a major concern, and unless their attack improves, they risk being dragged deeper into the relegation battle.
Sampdoria have endured an even worse start to the campaign. They remain without a single point after four consecutive defeats against Monza, Cesena, Sudtirol, and Modena. Their latest setback was a 1-0 loss to Monza on September 20. Over their last five matches, the Blucerchiati have also recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 defeats, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. The Genoese side are also burdened by a dreadful away record, having failed to win in their last 17 away matches, including 16 straight without victory in Serie B. With coach Donati under heavy pressure and potentially facing dismissal if results do not improve, Sampdoria’s situation is becoming increasingly unstable. Their defensive weaknesses combined with a lack of cutting edge in attack have left them rooted to the bottom of the table.
This match is shaping up to be a battle of nerves more than a showcase of quality football. Both teams share the unwanted record of having the worst defenses in Serie B, conceding 8 goals each in just four games. However, their attacking departments have been equally ineffective, with Bari averaging only 0.5 goals per match and Sampdoria the same. The last head-to-head between these sides ended in a 1-1 draw on March 2, 2025, and their overall recent meetings have been low-scoring, with Bari failing to win any of the last five encounters (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats). Given the current form, it is unlikely that either side will suddenly find attacking fluency. Instead, fear of losing could dominate proceedings, leading to a cautious and scrappy contest.
For Sampdoria, the key will be whether they can finally break their away hoodoo, while Bari will look to capitalize on home advantage to secure their first victory of the season. Both sides are under immense pressure, and the outcome could have significant consequences for their respective campaigns.
Bari vs Sampdoria prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 68% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Bari 1908
Sampdoria
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
1
9
4
6
2.5
4
6
6
4
3.5
7
3
10
0
4.5
8
2
10
0