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Barletta
7:00 PM
August 28, 2026
Bari 1908
Prediction published on Aug 26, 2026 8:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone C | Modified on Aug 26, 2026 8:02 PM
Barletta and Bari 1908 meet on August 28, 2026, at 19:00 local time in an eagerly awaited Serie C: Girone C derby. The fixture takes place at Stadio Cosimo Puttilli and marks the return of this regional rivalry in a professional competition after a 37-year wait. Both teams opened the league season with three-goal performances, although their results were very different: Barletta drew 3-3 with Casertana, while Bari 1908 defeated Cavese 3-0. Those contrasting starts, combined with the intensity normally associated with a derby, create an intriguing contest in which recent form, home advantage and defensive reliability all deserve attention.
Barletta began their Serie C campaign with an eventful 3-3 draw away to Casertana on August 22. That result showed their ability to score several times in one match, but it also highlighted the defensive issues they will want to correct before facing an opponent that recorded a convincing victory in its opening fixture.
Across their last five matches, Barletta have registered one win, two draws and two defeats. They have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded during that sequence. The difference between those figures suggests that their recent matches have not always been easy to control, with the team conceding slightly more often than it has scored.
As only one league game has been completed, the season averages are heavily shaped by the draw against Casertana. Barletta currently have a Serie C record of no wins, one draw and no defeats, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded. They occupy ninth place in the supplied Serie C: Girone C ranking.
The home side entered the division as a newly promoted club and are seeking to establish themselves at this level. A derby against Bari 1908 offers an early opportunity to build momentum after taking a point from a six-goal opening match. Playing at Stadio Cosimo Puttilli may also be relevant in a fixture that has been absent from the professional schedule for 37 years, although Barletta will need greater defensive stability than they showed on the first matchday.
Bari 1908 made a much more controlled start to the campaign, beating Cavese 3-0 on August 21. The victory gave the visitors three points, three goals and a clean sheet in their first Serie C match of the season. Bari 1908 consequently sit second in the supplied ranking, seven positions above Barletta at this early stage.
Their broader run is also positive. Bari 1908 have collected three wins and two draws in their last five matches, remaining unbeaten throughout that period. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per game while conceding only 0.4. The attacking average is identical to Barletta's over the same number of matches, but Bari's defensive figure is significantly stronger.
The visitors' current league record stands at one win, no draws and no defeats. Their season averages are 3.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded, figures produced by the 3-0 success against Cavese. While one match is too small a sample for firm conclusions, the clean sheet provides a notable contrast with the three goals conceded by Barletta in their opener.
Bari 1908 have also avoided being behind at half-time in 20 of their last 22 matches. That trend indicates that they have regularly remained competitive through the opening period. Meanwhile, three of their last 13 away fixtures ended with under 0.5 total goals, as did two of their last ten matches overall. In other words, goalless games have occurred, but they have represented a minority in both samples.
After relegation in the previous season, Bari 1908 are aiming to return to Serie B. The opening victory supported those ambitions, but this derby represents a different kind of examination. The visitors arrive with the stronger five-match record and the better recent defensive average, yet they must now carry that form into a highly anticipated away fixture.
The available numbers present two competing pictures. Recent performance favors Bari 1908: they are unbeaten in five matches, have conceded only 0.4 goals per game over that run and opened the league season with a 3-0 victory. Barletta, by comparison, have won once in five and conceded an average of 1.8 goals, including three against Casertana.
However, the supplied win probabilities give Barletta a 46% chance of victory, compared with 28% for the draw and 26% for Bari 1908. The listed decimal odds take a different view, pricing Bari 1908 at 2.11, Barletta at 3.16 and the draw at 3.20. This gap between the probability data and the market prices adds uncertainty to an already difficult derby assessment.
The goals markets are similarly balanced. Under 2.5 goals and Both Teams To Score No are each assigned a 54% probability, leaving Over 2.5 and Both Teams To Score Yes at 46%. The odds also place Under 2.5 at 1.75 and Over 2.5 at 1.94. Despite both clubs scoring three goals in their opening fixtures, Bari's defensive form supports the possibility of a more restrained contest, while Barletta's 3-3 draw shows why a higher-scoring outcome cannot be dismissed.
The first half could be especially important. Bari 1908's record of not losing at the interval in 20 of 22 matches points to consistent starts, whereas Barletta will be trying to prevent the visitors from establishing control. At the same time, the home side's 46% win probability and the combined 74% probability for Barletta or a draw provide a clear statistical argument for covering the hosts in the result market.
Overall, Bari 1908 bring the cleaner form line and stronger defensive figures, but Barletta have home status, an unbeaten league start and the highest individual win probability. In a derby returning after such a long absence, the most coherent conclusion is to protect against both a home victory and a draw rather than rely solely on the visitors' recent momentum.
Barletta vs Bari 1908 prediction from BetMines: Barletta or Draw (1X) with 74% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Barletta
Bari 1908
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
3
7
6
4
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
8
2
9
1