Favourites
Settings

Basel vs Aston Villa Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Europa League 11-12-2025

Basel

1 - 2

FT

Aston Villa

St. Jakob-Park
H. Meler
sky is clear 9.06 °C

Prediction published on Dec 9, 2025 9:02 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Dec 9, 2025 9:02 PM

The Europa League group stage continues with an intriguing clash between FC Basel 1893 and Aston Villa at St. Jakob-Park. The Swiss side are fighting to stay in contention for the knockout rounds, while the Premier League outfit arrive in Switzerland in excellent form and looking to consolidate their position at the top of the standings. With both teams showing attacking intent in recent weeks, this encounter promises to deliver plenty of excitement and goals.


Basel’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Basel enter this fixture sitting 24th in the Europa League standings, having collected six points from their two home victories. Their performances at St. Jakob-Park have been the cornerstone of their campaign so far, as they have struggled to replicate that success on the road. The Swiss side warmed up for this match with a 2-1 win over Winterthur on December 7, extending their unbeaten run to three matches in all competitions. Over their last five outings, Basel have recorded two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game.


At home, Basel have been particularly reliable in front of goal, scoring in each of their last eight matches at St. Jakob-Park. Veteran midfielder Xherdan Shaqiri remains their talisman, having found the net three times in his last five Europa League appearances — all of them coming on home soil. The former Liverpool and Stoke City player also contributed a goal in the recent domestic win, underlining his importance to the team’s attacking play. With 11 goals and 10 assists across all competitions this season, Shaqiri’s creativity and experience will be vital if Basel are to upset their English visitors.


Despite their strong home form, Basel’s defensive record remains a concern. They have conceded in three of their last five matches and will need to tighten up at the back against one of the most potent attacks in the competition. Still, their resilience and ability to perform in front of their fans make them a dangerous opponent for any visiting side.


Aston Villa’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Aston Villa travel to Switzerland in outstanding form, having won their last seven matches in all competitions. Their most recent triumph came in the Premier League, where they defeated leaders Arsenal 2-1 on December 6. Under Unai Emery, the Villans have been one of the most consistent teams in Europe, winning four of their five Europa League group-stage matches and sitting joint-top of the standings alongside Lyon and Midtjylland.


In their last five games, Aston Villa have maintained a perfect record with five wins, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per match while conceding 1.2. Their attacking unit has been particularly impressive, with multiple players contributing to the scoring tally. Dutch forward Donyell Malen has been in fine form, netting three times in the Europa League and registering eight goal contributions across all competitions. With 73% of his shots on target in Europe, Malen could once again play a decisive role, especially if Ollie Watkins is rested or rotated.


However, Villa’s defensive record away from home remains a slight worry. They have managed just one clean sheet in their last five matches and have conceded two or more goals in three of their last five away fixtures. Moreover, they have only one win in their last six Europa League away games, a statistic that Basel will look to exploit. Still, the English side’s attacking power and current momentum make them formidable opponents for any team in the competition.


Basel vs Aston Villa: Tactical Overview and Match Analysis


This encounter brings together two sides with contrasting strengths. Basel rely heavily on their home advantage and the creativity of Shaqiri to unlock defenses, while Aston Villa thrive on quick transitions and attacking fluidity under Emery’s guidance. The Swiss side will likely adopt a compact shape, aiming to frustrate the visitors and hit on the counter, whereas Villa are expected to dominate possession and press high up the pitch.


Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede, suggesting that this could be an open and entertaining contest. Basel have scored in each of their last eight home matches, while Aston Villa have found the net in all of their last ten games across competitions. Given these trends, goals at both ends seem highly probable. The hosts will look to Shaqiri and Zeqiri for inspiration, while Villa’s attacking trio of Malen, Diaby, and McGinn will aim to continue their prolific run.


Historically, English teams have found it challenging to win in Switzerland, and Basel’s strong home record could make this a tricky outing for the Villans. Nevertheless, Emery’s side have the quality and confidence to secure a positive result, especially given their recent form and attacking depth. Expect a competitive match with plenty of goalmouth action and moments of individual brilliance from both sides.


BetMines Prediction: Basel vs Aston Villa


The most likely outcome is Both Teams To Score (Yes) with a 62% probability. Both sides have been consistent in front of goal, and their recent defensive records suggest that neither is likely to keep a clean sheet in this Europa League clash.

Basel vs Aston Villa - Predictions

Go premium

This is a PREMIUM functionality. Subscribe now to use this and many other exclusive functionalities

Odds

Go premium

This is a PREMIUM functionality. Subscribe now to use this and many other exclusive functionalities

Basel vs Aston Villa: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Basel

Aston Villa

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

30%

3

70%

7

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

30%

3

70%

7

20%

2

80%

8

3.5

50%

5

50%

5

60%

6

40%

4

4.5

60%

6

40%

4

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Basel and Aston Villa in Europa League

Who will win ?

Basel vs Aston Villa: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Basel vs Aston Villa be played?
The Europa League match between Basel and Aston Villa will be played on December 11, 2025 at 20:00.
Where will Basel vs Aston Villa be played?
The match between Basel and Aston Villa will be played at St. Jakob-Park, Basel - Europe
Who will referee Basel vs Aston Villa?
The referee for the match will be H. Meler.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Basel vs Aston Villa in the Europa League?
The odds are: Basel to win 4.50, draw 4.33, Aston Villa to win 1.66.
What are the betting odds for Basel vs Aston Villa for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Europa League?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.57 and Under 2.5 at 2.37.
Will both Basel and Aston Villa score in the Europa League?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.61, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.20.
What is the most likely correct score for Basel vs Aston Villa in the Europa League?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 8.

Article available in:

Unlock the full BetMines experience

Go Premium and get even more and better data for your bets.

What's included?

What's included

  • Live scanner
  • Pre-Match scanner
  • Value bet bot
  • Backtesting for Pre-Match scanner up to 24 months
  • Trends
  • Advanced team stats
  • Exclusive events in the advanced filter
  • Exclusive events in the BetMines Machine
  • All market predictions unlocked
  • VIP Telegram Group

Try BetMines Premium for free

Unlock scanners, alerts, monitoring and value bets.

  • Live alerts and Monitoring
  • Pre-match scanner and filters
  • Premium predictions and value bets