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Prediction published on Nov 4, 2025 10:13 AM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Nov 5, 2025 10:27 AM
On Thursday, November 6, at St. Jakob-Park, Basel and FCSB face off in the 4th round of the UEFA Europa League. It’s a crucial clash for qualification, with both teams tied on 3 points and needing a win to stay alive in the race for the Round of 16. Basel, currently second in the Swiss Super League after twelve rounds, will look to capitalize on home advantage to take all three points and improve their current 24th place in the overall group standings, the last spot granting access to the next phase. FCSB, on the other hand, must show resilience: level on points with the Swiss side, the Romanian team trails due to a worse goal difference and would currently miss out on progression. A win in Switzerland would not only boost their European hopes but also reignite a disappointing domestic campaign, where they sit 8th in the Romanian SuperLiga, 13 points behind the leaders after 15 matches. Expect an intense and hard-fought encounter, with both sides desperate for victory to keep their European dreams alive.
Basel come into this match after two positive results: a 2-0 win over Zurich and a 0-0 draw away against Young Boys in the latest league round. Their recent form across all competitions shows inconsistency: 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats in the last five games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Defensively, they appear to be improving, having kept clean sheets in their last two outings.
In their first three Europa League matches, the Swiss side have collected 3 points from 1 win and 2 defeats, averaging 1 goal scored and 1.33 conceded per game. In their most recent European fixture on October 23, they lost 2-0 away to Olympique Lyon, after previously beating VfB Stuttgart 2-0.
Magnin’s team boasts a strong home record, having lost just once in their last 13 matches at St. Jakob-Park across all competitions. Ahead of this clash with FCSB, the Swiss coach will be without center-back Van Breemen and full-back Tsunemoto. In midfield, playmaker Xherdan Shaqiri — the former Inter and Liverpool star — will once again lead the charge, having already scored 8 goals this season.
FCSB are in good form, having won three consecutive matches, the most recent being a 0-2 victory away at U. Cluj in the 15th round of the SuperLiga. Over their last five matches in all competitions, the Romanians have registered 3 wins and 2 defeats, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game, showcasing strong attacking output while maintaining defensive solidity with just one goal conceded in their last three outings.
In the Europa League, FCSB have earned 3 points from 1 win and 2 defeats, averaging 0.67 goals scored and 1.34 conceded per game. Their European form has dipped recently, with two straight losses against Young Boys (0-2) and Bologna (1-2), after starting their campaign with a 0-1 win away to Go Ahead Eagles.
Charalampous’ men have won three of their last nine away games in all competitions, along with four draws and two defeats, showing inconsistency on the road. For the match against Basel, the Cypriot coach will be without central defender Dawa, while Edjouma remains doubtful.
Given that both sides have followed a very similar path in Europe so far, BetMines predicts a tight and competitive game until the final whistle. The hosts are slightly favored with a 43% chance of winning, while FCSB’s chances stand at 34%.
Due to the expected balance between the two teams, the tip is to go for the Double Chance 1X, anticipating a match where Basel remain unbeaten at home.
From a goalscoring perspective, BetMines expects an open game with plenty of chances, making Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams to Score - Yes the most likely outcomes. Over 2.5 has landed in four of Basel’s first seven home matches and in four of FCSB’s last five games, confirming the defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.
Furthermore, eight of FCSB’s last ten away games have seen goals at both ends. Keep an eye on Benie Traoré and Darius Olaru, two of the most in-form players right now, who have scored 2 and 3 goals respectively in their last three matches.
BASEL (4-2-3-1): Hitz; Vouilloz, Barisic, Daniliuc, Schmid; Leroy, Metinho; Soticek, Shaqiri, Otele; Ajeti.
Coach: Magnin
FCSB (4-2-3-1): Tarnovanu; Pantea, Cercel, Ngezana, Radunovic; Lixandru, Sut; Cisotti, Tanase, Olaru; Birligea. Coach: Charalampous
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Basel
FCSB
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
0
10
4
6
2.5
2
8
5
5
3.5
4
6
5
5
4.5
8
2
7
3