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Prediction published on Sep 30, 2025 8:15 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Sep 30, 2025 8:26 PM
The Europa League group stage continues with an intriguing clash as FC Basel 1893 host VfB Stuttgart on Thursday, October 2, 2025. Both sides enter this Round 2 fixture with contrasting fortunes: Basel are looking to bounce back after a defeat in their opening match against Freiburg, while Stuttgart aim to build on their winning start against Celta Vigo. With both teams known for their attacking style and recent records pointing towards goals, this encounter promises to deliver plenty of action.
Basel come into this match under pressure after a narrow 1-2 loss to Luzern in the Swiss Super League on September 28. Their recent form has been mixed, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats in their last five matches. Despite inconsistency in results, Basel remain a side that almost always finds the net. They have scored in 33 of their last 34 matches, including each of their last 15 home games. This attacking reliability is balanced by defensive vulnerabilities, as they have conceded in most of their recent fixtures.
Basel’s matches are rarely short of goals. In fact, over 1.5 goals have been scored in 30 of their last 31 games, while over 0.5 goals at half time have been recorded in 19 of their last 20 matches. Their home ground has also been a reliable venue for entertainment, with over 1.5 goals scored in each of their last 15 home fixtures. However, one worrying trend is that Basel have been trailing at half time in their last three matches, something they will need to address if they want to compete against a strong Stuttgart side.
Stuttgart arrive in Switzerland in excellent form, having beaten FC Köln 2-1 away from home in their most recent Bundesliga outing on September 28. Their last five matches show an impressive record of 4 wins and just 1 defeat, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game. This balance between attack and defense has made them one of the most consistent sides in the early stages of the season.
Like Basel, Stuttgart’s matches are almost guaranteed to produce goals. They have seen over 0.5 goals in each of their last 40 games, and remarkably, they have scored or conceded in all of their last 20 away matches. Their second-half performances are particularly strong, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half of their last 12 matches and in 19 of their last 20 away fixtures. Another key strength is their resilience in the opening stages: Stuttgart have avoided defeat at half time in 22 of their last 24 matches, showing their ability to stay competitive from the start.
This Europa League clash brings together two teams with a clear attacking mindset and a tendency to produce high-scoring encounters. Basel’s home record suggests they will find the net, but their defensive lapses could be costly against a Stuttgart side that has been clinical in front of goal. Both teams have strong trends pointing towards goals: Basel have seen both teams score in 10 of their last 12 matches, while Stuttgart have had the same outcome in 6 of their last 8 games. Furthermore, Basel’s last five home matches and Stuttgart’s last six away matches have all ended with both teams scoring.
Historically, the two sides have only met in friendly matches, with one of those encounters seeing both teams on the scoresheet. While those games carry less weight, the current form and statistical trends strongly suggest that this competitive fixture will follow a similar pattern. With Basel desperate to get points on the board and Stuttgart eager to consolidate their position near the top of the group, an open and attacking game is expected.
FC Basel vs VfB Stuttgart prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 64% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Basel
VfB Stuttgart
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
0
10
2.5
2
8
4
6
3.5
4
6
4
6
4.5
8
2
7
3