The 29th round of Ligue 2 brings a crucial battle in the fight to avoid relegation as SC Bastia host Amiens SC this Friday evening. Both teams are struggling near the bottom of the table, and this encounter could prove decisive for their survival hopes. Bastia, currently sitting in 18th place, have endured a long winless streak but remain within touching distance of safety. Amiens SC, two places above them in 16th, are also in poor form and risk being dragged deeper into the relegation battle if they fail to react soon.

SC Bastia’s Recent Form and Key Stats

SC Bastia have found victories hard to come by this season. Their last five matches have produced no wins, three draws and two defeats, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. The most recent result, a 1-1 draw against Rodez on March 20, offered a glimpse of resilience but not enough to change their fortunes. Over the course of the Ligue 2 campaign, Bastia’s record stands at 3 wins, 11 draws and 13 losses, averaging just 0.6 goals scored per match while conceding 1.2.

Home advantage has not been a major factor for the Corsican side, as they have often struggled to impose themselves early in games. They have been behind at half time in six of their last ten home fixtures. Offensively, the team has lacked sharpness, with Under 0.5 goals recorded in three of their last ten home matches. Their games tend to be tight and low-scoring, particularly in the second half: Under 1.5 goals have been scored after the break in 22 of their last 24 matches, including 19 of their last 20 Ligue 2 encounters. This pattern suggests that Bastia’s matches often hinge on small margins and defensive solidity rather than attacking flair.

Amiens SC’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Amiens SC are also enduring a difficult period. Their last five matches have yielded four defeats and just one draw, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Their most recent outing ended in a 3-4 loss against Le Mans, a result that highlighted both their attacking potential and defensive fragility. Over the season, Amiens have collected 6 wins, 5 draws and 17 defeats, scoring 1.2 goals per match while conceding 1.8.

The visitors’ inconsistency is further reflected in their lack of draws — they have failed to share the points in 26 of their last 28 matches. Their games tend to be open and eventful, with Over 7.5 corners recorded in each of their last 19 fixtures. However, despite their attacking intent, Amiens have struggled to turn performances into points. Their defensive lapses have cost them dearly, particularly away from home, where maintaining concentration has been a recurring issue.

Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview

When these two sides met earlier in the season, the match ended in a goalless draw (0-0 on September 12, 2025). Historically, Amiens have had the upper hand in this fixture, with a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last five meetings. Bastia have averaged just 0.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in those encounters, underlining their difficulties in breaking down the Amiens defense.

Given the current context, this clash is likely to be a tense and cautious affair. Bastia’s home matches have consistently produced few goals, especially in the second half, while Amiens’ defensive instability could make them vulnerable to counterattacks. Both teams are desperate for points, but their recent form suggests that confidence is low on both sides. The match could therefore hinge on set pieces or a single decisive moment rather than sustained attacking play.

• Ranking: Bastia 18th, Amiens SC 16th


• Last 5 matches: Bastia (0W–3D–2L), Amiens SC (0W–1D–4L)


• Average goals per match: Bastia 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded; Amiens SC 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded


• Last head-to-head: 0-0 (September 2025)


• Win probabilities: Bastia 50%, Draw 26%, Amiens SC 24%


• Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 46%, Under 54%


• BTTS: Yes 49%, No 51%

SC Bastia vs Amiens SC Prediction and Final Analysis

Everything points to a tight and low-scoring contest. Bastia’s home matches rarely produce many goals, and their defensive approach could once again dictate the rhythm of the game. Amiens, meanwhile, have shown vulnerability at the back but also the ability to find the net, as seen in their recent 3-4 defeat. The balance of probabilities slightly favors the home side, who will be eager to capitalize on Amiens’ poor run and finally secure a much-needed win.

However, given the statistical trends — particularly the frequency of Under 2.5 goals outcomes and the low scoring rate in Bastia’s matches — a cautious approach is expected from both teams. The battle for midfield control and defensive discipline will likely define the outcome more than attacking creativity.

SC Bastia vs Amiens SC prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 50% probability.