The 27th round of Ligue 2 brings a crucial battle in the relegation fight as SC Bastia host US Boulogne this Friday evening. The Corsican side have been struggling at the bottom of the table for several weeks and desperately need points to keep their survival hopes alive. Despite their poor run of results, Bastia have shown resilience, collecting several draws in recent outings. Meanwhile, Boulogne arrive in better spirits after a strong performance last weekend and will look to extend their positive momentum on the road.

SC Bastia’s Recent Form and Key Stats

SC Bastia remain in a difficult position, sitting 18th in Ligue 2. Their recent form reflects a team fighting hard but lacking the finishing touch: no wins in their last five matches, with four draws and one defeat. The most recent result, a 2-2 draw against Pau on March 6, highlighted both their fighting spirit and defensive fragility. Over the season, Bastia have recorded 3 wins, 10 draws, and 12 losses, averaging just 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

At home, Bastia’s matches tend to be tight and low-scoring. In fact, under 1.5 goals have been scored in the second half of each of their last 10 home fixtures, and in 20 of their last 22 Ligue 2 matches overall. The team often struggles to find the net after the break, with at least one side failing to score in the second half in each of their last 22 games. These numbers underline a cautious approach and a lack of offensive efficiency that has cost them valuable points.

• Ranking: 18th in Ligue 2


• Last 5 matches: 0 wins, 4 draws, 1 defeat


• Average goals scored: 0.6 per match


• Average goals conceded: 1.0 per match


• Under 1.5 goals in the second half in 20 of the last 22 matches

Despite their struggles, Bastia have proven difficult to beat at times, managing to hold stronger opponents to draws. Their defensive discipline could once again be key in this encounter, especially against a Boulogne side that tends to grow into matches as time progresses.

US Boulogne’s Recent Form and Key Stats

US Boulogne approach this fixture in a much more comfortable position, currently 12th in the standings with a seven-point cushion above the relegation zone. Their recent form has been encouraging: two wins, one draw, and two defeats in their last five matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. The highlight came in their 4-2 victory over Amiens SC on March 6, a result that boosted their confidence and underlined their attacking potential.

While Boulogne’s defense can be inconsistent, their matches are often lively, particularly in the second half. Over 0.5 goals have been scored after the break in 19 of their last 21 games, showing their ability to create chances late on. However, they rarely dominate early, having failed to lead at halftime in 19 of their last 20 fixtures. This tendency suggests a team that grows stronger as the match progresses but remains vulnerable in the opening stages.

• Ranking: 12th in Ligue 2


• Last 5 matches: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats


• Average goals scored: 1.4 per match


• Average goals conceded: 1.4 per match


• Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 19 of the last 21 matches

With eight wins and six draws this season, Boulogne have shown enough quality to stay clear of the relegation battle for now. A positive result in Corsica would bring them even closer to securing their Ligue 2 status for another year.

SC Bastia vs US Boulogne Analysis and Prediction

This matchup promises to be a tense and tactical affair between two sides with contrasting objectives. Bastia are desperate for points to climb out of the relegation zone, while Boulogne aim to consolidate their mid-table position. The hosts’ defensive solidity and tendency to draw could make this a tight contest, especially given their record of low-scoring games. On the other hand, Boulogne’s attacking form and recent confidence might give them a slight edge going forward.

Historically, Bastia have had a slight advantage in head-to-head meetings, winning three of the last five encounters, including a 1-0 victory in September 2025. However, their current lack of wins and limited scoring power suggest that a draw or a narrow result is the most likely outcome. Given both teams’ recent trends, goals may come sparingly, particularly in the first half.

According to the latest probabilities, Bastia have a 38% chance of winning, Boulogne 32%, and a draw stands at 30%. The Under 2.5 goals scenario appears the most likely, with a 63% probability, while Both Teams To Score – No is also favored at 56%. These figures align with the teams’ recent performances and the overall pattern of their matches this season.

SC Bastia vs US Boulogne prediction by BetMines:
Under 2.5 goals with 63% probability.