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Prediction published on Sep 19, 2025 6:05 PM by Dario in Germany - Bundesliga | Modified on Sep 19, 2025 6:14 PM
The Bundesliga continues with an intriguing clash at the BayArena as Bayer Leverkusen host Borussia Mönchengladbach on Sunday, September 21, 2025. The two sides enter this fixture in contrasting form: Leverkusen sit 10th with four points from their opening three matches, while Gladbach are down in 16th, still searching for their first win and even their first goal of the campaign. With both teams already having made managerial changes early in the season, this encounter carries significant weight for their respective ambitions.
Bayer Leverkusen come into this match on the back of a 2-2 draw away at FC København in the Champions League on September 18, extending their unbeaten run in all competitions to three games (W1, D2). In the Bundesliga, their record so far reads one win, one draw, and one defeat, with an average of 2.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match. This underlines their attacking strength but also highlights defensive vulnerabilities.
At home, Leverkusen showed their potential last weekend with a convincing 3-1 victory over Eintracht Frankfurt. That result not only boosted their confidence but also reaffirmed their attacking firepower. In fact, their last five matches across all competitions have produced an average of 2.6 goals scored per game, while conceding 1.6. Furthermore, over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 10 matches, and there has been at least one first-half goal in all of them. These trends suggest that fans at the BayArena can expect another open and entertaining contest.
Historically, Leverkusen have also enjoyed the upper hand in this fixture. In their last five head-to-head meetings with Gladbach, Die Werkself remain unbeaten (W3, D2), scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game while conceding just 1.0. Their most recent encounter ended in a 3-1 win back in January 2025, further underlining their dominance.
It has been a difficult start to the season for Borussia Mönchengladbach. They remain one of only four Bundesliga teams yet to register a win after three rounds (D1, L2), and more worryingly, they are still without a single goal scored. Their average of 0.0 goals per game in the league is the lowest in the division, while they have conceded 1.7 on average.
Their most recent outing was a heavy 0-4 home defeat to Werder Bremen on September 14, a result that extended their goalless streak in the Bundesliga to five consecutive matches. Away from home, things look equally bleak: a 1-0 defeat at Stuttgart on matchday two marked their fourth straight away loss in the league. Over their last five matches in all competitions, Gladbach have managed just one win, one draw, and three defeats, scoring only 0.6 goals per game while conceding 1.6.
Despite these struggles, there are some consistent patterns in their matches. Over 0.5 goals in the second half has been a feature in each of their last 14 away games, and in 25 of their last 27 matches overall. This suggests that while they may struggle to score themselves, their games often open up after the break, leaving room for late drama.
On paper, this fixture looks heavily tilted in favor of Bayer Leverkusen. The hosts are in better form, have a stronger attacking record, and boast a dominant head-to-head history against Gladbach. With Leverkusen averaging over two goals per game and Gladbach failing to score in five consecutive league matches, the contrast between the two sides could not be clearer.
Leverkusen’s attacking consistency, combined with Gladbach’s defensive fragility and lack of cutting edge up front, points towards a match where the home side should control proceedings. The BayArena crowd will expect nothing less than a victory, and given the attacking trends of both teams, goals are likely to flow once again. The last two meetings between these sides produced a total of nine goals, and with Leverkusen’s recent matches consistently delivering high-scoring affairs, another game with multiple goals seems probable.
For Gladbach, the key challenge will be breaking their scoring drought. Without finding the net, it is difficult to see them taking anything from this encounter. Their best hope may lie in keeping things tight early on and trying to exploit any defensive lapses from Leverkusen, but given their current form, that looks like a tall order.
Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction by BetMines:
The statistical analysis highlights a clear preference for a home win (1) with a 61% probability. The draw (X) is given a 21% chance, while an away win (2) stands at just 19%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
4
6
5
5
3.5
6
4
5
5
4.5
7
3
8
2