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Prediction published on Apr 17, 2026 10:47 AM by Dario in Germany - Bundesliga | Modified on Apr 17, 2026 10:47 AM
The upcoming Bundesliga clash between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and FC Augsburg promises to be an intriguing encounter, scheduled for April 18 at the BayArena. The home side enters the match as clear favorites, backed by solid form and a strong home record. Augsburg, meanwhile, will aim to defy the odds and secure a much-needed result to stabilize their campaign. With both teams having contrasting recent performances, this fixture could play a key role in shaping their respective league ambitions.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen approach this match in good shape, having collected seven points from their last three Bundesliga outings. Their recent 0-1 victory over Borussia Dortmund on April 11 underlined their ability to perform under pressure. Over the last five matches, Leverkusen have recorded two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. This attacking consistency has been one of their main strengths throughout the season.
In the overall campaign, Leverkusen’s record stands at 15 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, with an average of 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. Their home form has been particularly impressive, as they have scored at least one goal in each of their last 12 home Bundesliga matches. The BayArena has become a reliable fortress, with the team unbeaten in their last six home games, including two consecutive victories. This consistency at home gives them a psychological edge heading into this fixture.
Defensively, Leverkusen have shown improvement compared to earlier in the season, though the average of 1.67 goals conceded in their last six games remains an area to refine. Nevertheless, their attacking firepower and ability to control possession make them a formidable opponent for any visiting side.
FC Augsburg travel to Leverkusen in search of stability after a challenging run of results. Their most recent match ended in a 2-2 draw against TSG Hoffenheim on April 10, a result that at least halted a losing streak but did little to boost their confidence. In their last five Bundesliga fixtures, Augsburg have failed to win, recording two draws and three defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game. This defensive fragility has been a recurring issue throughout the season.
Across the campaign, Augsburg’s record stands at 9 wins, 6 draws, and 14 losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match. Their away form is particularly concerning: they have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 18 away Bundesliga matches. Moreover, they have been trailing at halftime in six of their last ten away games, highlighting their struggles to start matches strongly on the road.
Despite these difficulties, Augsburg remain comfortably above the relegation zone, but their recent performances suggest that improvement is needed to avoid slipping further down the table. Their challenge will be to contain Leverkusen’s attacking rhythm while trying to exploit any defensive lapses from the home side.
Historically, Bayer 04 Leverkusen have dominated this fixture. In the last five meetings between the two sides, Leverkusen have won four times and lost only once, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game while conceding just 0.6. The most recent encounter ended in a 2-0 victory for Leverkusen on December 6, 2025, further emphasizing their superiority in this matchup.
From a tactical perspective, Leverkusen’s attacking approach and home advantage are likely to dictate the rhythm of the game. Their ability to maintain possession and create chances through quick transitions could prove decisive. Augsburg, on the other hand, may adopt a more cautious strategy, focusing on defensive organization and counterattacks. However, given their recent defensive record, keeping a clean sheet will be a significant challenge.
Leverkusen’s home momentum and offensive efficiency make them strong favorites, but Augsburg’s resilience and occasional bursts of attacking intent could still make this a competitive contest. The visitors will need to stay compact and capitalize on any set-piece opportunities to have a chance of taking points from this encounter.
All indicators point toward a strong performance from Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Their attacking form, home advantage, and superior head-to-head record make them the logical favorites. FC Augsburg will likely struggle to contain Leverkusen’s offensive power, especially given their poor defensive record away from home. While Augsburg may find the net, the overall balance of play should favor the hosts.
Based on the available data and recent trends, the most probable outcome is a home win (1). Leverkusen’s ability to score consistently and control matches at the BayArena gives them a clear edge. Augsburg’s defensive vulnerabilities further reinforce this prediction.
Leverkusen vs Augsburg prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with a 58% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
FC Augsburg
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
0
10
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
7
3
9
1