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Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern München Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Bundesliga 14-03-2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

1 - 1

FT

FC Bayern München

BayArena
Christian Dingert
moderate rain 4.72 °C

Prediction published on Mar 12, 2026 3:02 PM by Dario in Germany - Bundesliga | Modified on Mar 12, 2026 3:02 PM

The upcoming Bundesliga clash between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and FC Bayern München promises to be one of the highlights of the weekend. Scheduled for Saturday, March 14, this fixture brings together two sides that have recently been active in European competition. While Leverkusen fought hard for a 1-1 draw against Arsenal, Bayern cruised to a dominant 6-1 victory over Atalanta. The contrast in midweek performances sets the tone for a fascinating encounter, as the league leaders travel to face a team eager to rediscover consistency in domestic play.


Bayer Leverkusen’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Bayer 04 Leverkusen currently sit sixth in the Bundesliga standings, with a record of 13 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats. Their recent form has been steady but not spectacular, with one win and four draws in their last five matches across all competitions. The team averages 1.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, showing a balanced but slightly inconsistent profile. Despite their struggles, Leverkusen have managed to score in each of their last 12 home league matches, underlining their attacking reliability at home.


However, the Werkself’s recent head-to-head record against Bayern is less encouraging. In their last five meetings, they have managed just one win and one draw, losing three times and scoring an average of only 0.2 goals per match while conceding 1.6. Their last encounter ended in a 3-0 defeat, a result that highlighted the gap between the two sides. Still, Leverkusen’s defensive record at home remains solid, with only 11 goals conceded in 12 home fixtures, one of the best tallies in the league.



  • Last 5 matches: 1 win, 4 draws, 0 defeats

  • Average goals scored: 1.2 | Average conceded: 1.0

  • Unbeaten in last 12 home Bundesliga matches in terms of scoring

  • Last head-to-head vs Bayern: 0-3 loss (Nov 2025)


Leverkusen’s challenge will be to find the right balance between defensive discipline and attacking ambition. Missing key players such as Alejandro Grimaldo and Patrik Schick could make that task even harder, as both have been crucial contributors in front of goal this season. The home side will need to rely on collective effort and tactical organization to contain Bayern’s relentless attack.


FC Bayern München’s Recent Form and Key Stats


FC Bayern München continue to dominate the Bundesliga, leading the table with 21 wins, 3 draws, and just 1 defeat. Their offensive numbers are staggering: an average of 3.7 goals scored per game and only 1.0 conceded. The Bavarians have been in unstoppable form, winning all of their last five matches while scoring an average of 3.8 goals per game. Their 6-1 demolition of Atalanta in the Champions League further demonstrated their attacking power and depth.


Bayern’s consistency is reflected in their remarkable streaks: they have scored in each of their last 38 matches in all competitions and in their last 25 Bundesliga games. Over 2.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 25 league fixtures, and they have netted at least twice in 24 of their last 25 Bundesliga outings. Away from home, they remain equally dominant, scoring at least two goals in each of their last 12 away league matches and remaining unbeaten in 19 of their last 20 away trips.



  • Last 5 matches: 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 defeats

  • Average goals scored: 3.8 | Average conceded: 1.2

  • Over 2.5 goals in last 25 Bundesliga matches

  • At least 2 goals scored in last 12 away Bundesliga matches

  • Haven’t lost in 24 of last 25 Bundesliga games


Even with some key absences, Bayern’s squad depth ensures little drop in quality. Their attacking rhythm rarely falters, and their ability to score in bursts makes them a constant threat. The combination of efficiency, confidence, and tactical flexibility has made them nearly untouchable in domestic competition this season.


Leverkusen vs Bayern Analysis and Prediction


This matchup pits Leverkusen’s structured approach against Bayern’s explosive offense. The hosts will likely aim to slow the tempo and limit Bayern’s space, hoping to capitalize on counterattacks or set pieces. However, given Bayern’s current momentum and their ability to break down even the most disciplined defenses, the visitors enter as clear favorites.


Historically, this fixture has not produced high-scoring thrillers in recent years, with several meetings ending under 3.5 total goals. Yet, Bayern’s current scoring form suggests that goals are almost guaranteed. Leverkusen’s solid home defense might prevent a rout, but keeping a clean sheet against the league’s most prolific attack seems unlikely. The key question is whether the home side can find the net themselves, as they have failed to score in their last four direct encounters with Bayern.


Considering the statistical trends and recent performances, the most probable scenario points toward another Bayern victory, potentially accompanied by multiple goals. Leverkusen’s resilience could keep the scoreline respectable, but the visitors’ offensive firepower remains overwhelming.


Leverkusen vs Bayern prediction by BetMines:
FC Bayern München win (2) with 56% probability.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern München - Predictions

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Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern München: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

FC Bayern München

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

2.5

40%

4

60%

6

30%

3

70%

7

3.5

60%

6

40%

4

30%

3

70%

7

4.5

70%

7

30%

3

30%

3

70%

7

BetMines

Standings of Bayer 04 Leverkusen and FC Bayern München in Bundesliga

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

1

FC Bayern München

34

28

5

1

122:36

89

2.62

W
W
D
W
W
6

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

34

17

8

9

68:47

59

1.74

L
W
W
L
D
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Who will win ?

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern München: Frequently asked questions

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When will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern München be played?
The Bundesliga match between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and FC Bayern München will be played on March 14, 2026 at 14:30.
Where will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern München be played?
The match between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and FC Bayern München will be played at BayArena, Leverkusen - Germany
Who will referee Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern München?
The referee for the match will be Christian Dingert.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern München in the Bundesliga?
The odds are: Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win 5.25, draw 4.75, FC Bayern München to win 1.53.
What are the betting odds for Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern München for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Bundesliga?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.30 and Under 2.5 at 3.50.
Will both Bayer 04 Leverkusen and FC Bayern München score in the Bundesliga?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.40, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.75.
What is the most likely correct score for Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern München in the Bundesliga?
The most likely correct score is 1-2, with odds of 9.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and FC Bayern München?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and FC Bayern München, Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 1 times, FC Bayern München won 3, and 1 ended in a draw.

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