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Prediction published on Apr 20, 2026 8:01 PM by Dario in Germany - DFB Pokal | Modified on Apr 20, 2026 8:01 PM
The DFB-Pokal semifinal between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and FC Bayern München promises to be a thrilling encounter. Scheduled for Wednesday, April 22, the clash at the BayArena will determine who advances to the final. With Bayern chasing a potential treble and Leverkusen eager to end their recent struggles, this match carries immense significance for both sides. The statistical outlook suggests a high-scoring affair, with both teams expected to find the net.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen enter this semifinal in mixed form. Despite their strong overall record in the DFB-Pokal this season (3 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses), their recent performances across all competitions have been inconsistent. The team has managed only two victories in their last eleven competitive matches, conceding multiple goals even against lower-ranked opponents. Their latest outing, a 1-2 defeat to Augsburg, further highlighted defensive vulnerabilities that could prove costly against Bayern’s prolific attack.
In the DFB-Pokal, however, Leverkusen have shown resilience. They average 2.3 goals scored and only 0.3 goals conceded per match in the tournament. Impressively, they have scored in each of their last 23 DFB-Pokal fixtures, and their home games have consistently delivered entertainment: all of their last 11 home matches in the competition have featured over 2.5 total goals. Moreover, Leverkusen have led at halftime in 9 of their last 15 DFB-Pokal appearances, demonstrating their ability to start strong when playing in front of their supporters.
Despite their attacking consistency, defensive lapses remain a concern. Conceding three goals against both Heidenheim and Wolfsburg in recent weeks underlines the need for greater stability at the back. Against a Bayern side that thrives on offensive momentum, Leverkusen’s ability to contain pressure will be crucial.
FC Bayern München approach this semifinal in exceptional form. Their recent 4-2 victory over Stuttgart sealed the domestic title, and they now turn their focus to completing a potential treble. Bayern have won 41 of their 47 matches this season, losing only three times away from home. Their attacking output has been nothing short of spectacular, with 161 goals scored across all competitions—an average of 3.4 per game.
In the DFB-Pokal, Bayern’s dominance continues: 4 wins from 4 matches, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. They have scored in each of their last 40 matches in all competitions and remain unbeaten in their last 17. Away from home, they have not lost in 20 of their last 21 fixtures, scoring at least twice in 19 of those. Their matches are consistently high-scoring, with over 2.5 goals recorded in 37 of their last 40 games.
Bayern’s offensive depth is their greatest weapon. Every attacking player has contributed significantly, and their ability to maintain intensity throughout matches makes them formidable opponents. They have also led at halftime in 7 of their last 10 games, often setting the tone early and controlling proceedings from there.
This semifinal brings together two sides with contrasting dynamics. Leverkusen will rely on their home advantage and attacking rhythm to challenge Bayern’s defense, while Bayern will look to impose their usual dominance through relentless pressure and clinical finishing. The head-to-head record favors Bayern, who have won three of the last four meetings, conceding only once in that span. The most recent encounter ended 1-1, showing that Leverkusen can compete but often struggle to convert chances into victories.
Given both teams’ attacking tendencies, a goal-filled match seems likely. Leverkusen’s home fixtures in the DFB-Pokal have consistently produced multiple goals, and Bayern’s offensive form suggests that trend will continue. The statistics also indicate a strong likelihood of both sides scoring, as reflected by the high BTTS probability.
With Bayern’s current momentum and Leverkusen’s defensive fragility, the visitors appear well-positioned to advance to the final. However, Leverkusen’s attacking potential ensures that this will not be a straightforward contest. Expect an open, entertaining match with several scoring opportunities on both ends.
Leverkusen vs Bayern prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 65% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
FC Bayern München
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
4
6
3
7
3.5
6
4
3
7
4.5
7
3
3
7