Bayer 04 Leverkusen host FC Union Berlin at the BayArena on Saturday, September 5, with kick-off scheduled for 13:30 local time. Both clubs are still searching for their first Bundesliga victory of the season after eventful opening matches. Leverkusen suffered a 3-2 defeat against Elversberg, while Union Berlin recovered from a 3-1 deficit to draw 3-3 with Eintracht Frankfurt. Those results immediately placed the focus on two productive attacks and two defensive records with room for improvement. The hosts enter the second round in 12th place, four positions behind eighth-placed Union, but the available win probabilities make Leverkusen the favorites at 55%, compared with 23% for the draw and 22% for an away victory. Recent scoring trends suggest that the Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Union Berlin preview should also pay close attention to the goals markets.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Recent Form and Key Statistics

Bayer 04 Leverkusen will be looking for an immediate response after beginning their Bundesliga campaign with a 3-2 loss to Elversberg on August 29. Although Leverkusen scored twice, conceding three goals left them with no points from their first league fixture. Their current Bundesliga averages consequently stand at 2.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per match.

The wider five-game picture is more encouraging. Leverkusen have collected three wins and suffered two defeats across their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals and conceding 1.4. Their ability to find the net has also been highly consistent in league competition: they have scored at least once in each of their last 13 Bundesliga matches. At home, that sequence extends across their previous 12 Bundesliga fixtures, giving the hosts a strong statistical foundation in front of goal despite the opening defeat.

The source material also highlights an entertaining run across Leverkusen's six most recent encounters. During that period, their matches produced an average of 3.5 goals, with the team itself averaging 2.33 goals. Both sides scored in 67% of those six games, while Leverkusen managed two clean sheets. These numbers underline why the home side may be expected to contribute to the scoreline, but the three goals conceded against Elversberg mean another clean sheet cannot be taken for granted.

FC Union Berlin Recent Form and Key Statistics

FC Union Berlin began the Bundesliga season with a dramatic 3-3 draw against Eintracht Frankfurt. Union had fallen 3-1 behind before recovering to secure a point, showing enough scoring power to turn around a difficult situation. Their season averages after that match are identical at both ends of the pitch: 3.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded.

Across their last five games, Union Berlin have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat. They averaged an impressive 2.8 goals scored during that sequence, but their average of 2.6 conceded demonstrates why their matches have remained so open. The broader six-game sample is even more striking, producing 4.67 total goals per fixture, while Union conceded an average of 2.5. At least four goals were scored in each of their last six matches, and the visitors allowed two or more goals in all six according to the supplied match context.

Several additional sequences reinforce the expectation of goalmouth action. Union's last 10 matches all contained at least two total goals, while every one of those fixtures produced a goal before half-time. There has also been at least one second-half goal in each of Union Berlin's last 13 matches and in each of their last 13 away games. Restricting that trend to Bundesliga action, the same outcome has occurred in their previous 12 overall league fixtures and 12 league matches away from home. Both teams have even scored during the second half in Union's last four away games.

The visitors have frequently entered the interval in a difficult position. FC Union Berlin have been behind at half-time in eight of their last 11 Bundesliga matches, as well as in seven of their previous 10 games across all competitions. Away from home in the Bundesliga, they have lost the first half in six of their last 10 fixtures. That pattern may give Leverkusen an opportunity to start strongly, although Union's comeback against Eintracht Frankfurt also showed that their threat can continue after the break.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Union Berlin Match Analysis

The contrast between the latest head-to-head result and the teams' current scoring trends adds another layer to this Bundesliga match. Leverkusen won the most recent meeting 1-0 on February 21, 2026. Across the supplied head-to-head summary, Bayer have three wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 1.0 goal scored and only 0.4 conceded. That history points toward Leverkusen, but the latest form figures describe two sides currently involved in much higher-scoring contests.

Leverkusen's long run of scoring in both home and overall Bundesliga matches supports their prospects of finding the net again. Union Berlin, meanwhile, arrive after scoring three times against Eintracht Frankfurt and averaging 2.8 goals across their last five outings. At the opposite end, Bayer conceded three in their opener, while Union's recent concession rate has remained high. The available statistical probabilities reflect that balance: both teams to score and over 2.5 goals are each rated at 54%.

A lively opening period is also supported by Union's record of a first-half goal in 10 consecutive matches and their repeated tendency to trail at the interval. However, the visitors' extensive second-half scoring trends suggest that the contest may remain active beyond the break. With both teams coming off matches in which they scored at least twice and conceded three, the clearest theme is the possibility of chances and goals at both ends. Leverkusen hold the stronger match-result probability, but Union's recent attacking output makes them difficult to dismiss from the scoresheet.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Union Berlin prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 54% probability.