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Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Europa League 05-11-2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

8:00 PM

November 5, 2026

Olympique Marseille

BayArena
Orel Grinfeeld
sky is clear °C

Prediction published on Nov 4, 2026 11:33 AM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Nov 4, 2026 11:33 AM

Bayer 04 Leverkusen host Olympique Marseille at BayArena on November 5, 2026, for a matchday-four Europa League fixture. Kick-off is scheduled for 20:00 local time. The teams arrive with sharply contrasting European records: Leverkusen have won all three of their matches without conceding, while Marseille have lost all three. The hosts sit second in the Europa League ranking supplied for this match, with the visitors 34th. Domestic results add another dimension, though. Leverkusen are looking to respond to a defeat, whereas Marseille travel to Leverkusen after a fourth consecutive Ligue 1 victory.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's Recent Form and Key Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have made a flawless start in the Europa League, beating OFI Crete, Lech Poznan and Celje. Across those three games, they have scored eight goals and conceded none. Their competition averages stand at 2.7 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per match, making their European form a clear contrast with some of their recent domestic results.

Leverkusen lost 4-2 to VfB Stuttgart on October 31. Their overall record across the last five matches is three wins and two defeats, with averages of 2.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. That recent rate of goals against shows why their three Europa League clean sheets stand out: they have been considerably harder to score against in this competition than in their wider recent run.

There is also a consistent goals pattern in Leverkusen's results. Their last 19 matches have all featured over 1.5 total goals, as have their last 14 home games and last 12 Europa League fixtures. The second half has contained at least one goal in each of their last 14 home matches and in 22 of their last 24 Europa League games. Leverkusen have also led at half-time in each of their three European matches this season.

Olympique Marseille's Recent Form and Key Stats

Olympique Marseille arrive in strong domestic form after beating Toulouse 2-0 on November 1, their fourth straight Ligue 1 win. Looking across all competitions, their last five matches have produced three wins and two defeats. They have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded during that spell, so the broader recent numbers tell a much more encouraging story than their Europa League results alone.

In Europe, Marseille have yet to earn a point from three matches. They have scored just one goal and conceded an average of 2.0 per game. Their latest Europa League outing ended in a 1-0 defeat to Sturm Graz. The difference between that European scoring record and their recent Ligue 1 winning streak is one of the central questions ahead of this trip: can Marseille bring their domestic momentum into a competition where goals have been scarce for them?

Marseille have not drawn any of their last 15 matches, while 19 of their last 20 away fixtures have also ended with a winner. Their last four matches have each produced under 7.5 total corners. Those runs offer useful context, although Marseille's record of three defeats from three Europa League games remains the most relevant measure of how their campaign has gone so far.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille Match Analysis

This Europa League preview brings together two teams whose recent form depends heavily on the competition being considered. Leverkusen come in after conceding four against Stuttgart, yet no opponent has scored against them in Europe this season. Marseille have won four successive league games, but have managed only one goal across their opening three Europa League fixtures. Neither domestic result should be ignored, though the European records give the hosts the stronger case heading into matchday four.

The early stages may be particularly important. Leverkusen have been ahead at half-time in all three of their Europa League games, and at least one first-half goal has been scored in 22 of their last 24 matches overall. Their home and European second-half figures also show that goals have regularly arrived later in games. These are trends rather than guarantees, but they underline how often Leverkusen's fixtures have featured scoring at different points of the match.

Marseille's challenge is to turn their recent domestic scoring form into a more effective European performance against a side that has yet to concede in the competition. Leverkusen, meanwhile, must show that the defensive problems reflected in their last five matches will not interrupt their Europa League run. With three European wins, eight goals scored and three clean sheets, the hosts have the stronger competition record, while Marseille's Ligue 1 streak gives the visitors reason to approach the game with renewed confidence.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille prediction from BetMines: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win (1) with 49% probability.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille - Predictions

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Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Olympique Marseille

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

0%

0

100%

10

40%

4

60%

6

2.5

30%

3

70%

7

60%

6

40%

4

3.5

50%

5

50%

5

70%

7

30%

3

4.5

70%

7

30%

3

70%

7

30%

3

BetMines

Standings of Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Olympique Marseille in Europa League

League Stage - Ranking

Team

3

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

3

3

0

0

8:0

9

3

W
W
W
34

Olympique Marseille

3

0

0

3

1:6

0

0

L
L
L
8th Finals
Play-off

Who will win ?

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille: Frequently asked questions

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When will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille be played?
The Europa League match between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Olympique Marseille will be played on November 5, 2026 at 20:00.
Where will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille be played?
The match between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Olympique Marseille will be played at BayArena, Leverkusen - Europe
Who will referee Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille?
The referee for the match will be Orel Grinfeeld.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille in the Europa League?
The odds are: Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win 1.30, draw 6.00, Olympique Marseille to win 8.00.
What are the betting odds for Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Europa League?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.36 and Under 2.5 at 3.20.
Will both Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Olympique Marseille score in the Europa League?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.70, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.05.
What is the most likely correct score for Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille in the Europa League?
The most likely correct score is 2-0, with odds of 8.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Olympique Marseille?
In the last 1 head-to-head matches between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Olympique Marseille, Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 1 times, Olympique Marseille won 0, and 0 ended in a draw.

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