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Prediction published on Oct 24, 2025 5:02 PM by Dario in Germany - Bundesliga | Modified on Oct 24, 2025 5:09 PM
The Bundesliga weekend continues with an intriguing clash between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and SC Freiburg, two sides that were both in European action during the week. Leverkusen suffered a heavy 2-7 defeat against Paris Saint-Germain, while Freiburg celebrated a 2-0 Europa League victory over FC Utrecht. This encounter at the BayArena promises attacking football, with both teams showing tendencies to score and concede regularly. With Leverkusen sitting fifth and Freiburg tenth in the standings, both clubs are eager to strengthen their league positions before the next international break.
Leverkusen’s recent form has been a mix of domestic consistency and European disappointment. In the Bundesliga, they have collected four wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. However, the midweek collapse against PSG exposed defensive vulnerabilities that have been present for weeks. The team has conceded at least once in each of their last 16 matches across all competitions, and Over 1.5 total goals have been recorded in all of them. Despite these defensive issues, their attack remains potent, having scored in every league match this season.
In their last five fixtures, Leverkusen have registered three wins, one draw, and one loss, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game but conceding 2.4. The 2-7 defeat to PSG was a psychological blow, and head coach Kasper Hjulmand must now focus on restoring confidence. The team’s attacking rhythm is led by Alejandro Grimaldo, who has already netted four goals this season, while Patrick Schick is expected to return to the starting lineup after recovering from injury. On the downside, Leverkusen are missing several key players: Alex Tape, Exequiel Palacios, Nathan Tella, Lucas Vázquez, and Malik Tillman are all sidelined.
Goalkeeper Mark Flekken, signed in the summer, has yet to find his best form and remains under scrutiny after several shaky performances. Defensively, Leverkusen have conceded 10 goals in their last two matches, a worrying trend that could give Freiburg hope. Nevertheless, their attacking power and home advantage make them slight favorites to bounce back.
SC Freiburg arrive in Leverkusen on the back of a morale-boosting 2-0 win over FC Utrecht in the Europa League. That result ended a run of four consecutive draws and extended their unbeaten streak to five matches in all competitions. In the Bundesliga, Freiburg’s record stands at two wins, three draws, and two defeats, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Their defensive organization has been solid, but the team often struggles to convert chances into goals.
Freiburg’s last five games have produced one win and four draws, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. This defensive stability contrasts sharply with Leverkusen’s open style. The Breisgau club has scored in 19 of their last 20 matches, showing consistency in attack even if their finishing has not always been clinical. Vincenzo Grifo remains their most dangerous player with three goals, though he might start on the bench to allow for tactical flexibility. Daniel-Kofi Kyereh could make his long-awaited return after injury, providing an additional creative option in midfield.
Coach Christian Streich will be without Patrick Osterhage, but otherwise has a stable squad. Freiburg’s away form has been respectable, with Under 10.5 corners recorded in 19 of their last 20 away games, suggesting a controlled and compact approach. Their last league meeting with Leverkusen ended in a 2-2 draw in May 2025, and historically, the head-to-head record is balanced, with Leverkusen winning three and drawing two of the last five encounters.
This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting styles. Leverkusen rely heavily on attacking transitions and wide play, while Freiburg focus on defensive structure and quick counterattacks. The hosts will look to dominate possession and press high, but their defensive fragility could be exploited by Freiburg’s pace on the break. Both sides tend to start games energetically — Over 0.5 goals in the first half has occurred in 18 of Freiburg’s last 20 matches and in all of Leverkusen’s last 10 Bundesliga fixtures.
Leverkusen’s challenge will be mental as much as tactical. The heavy defeat to PSG may have dented confidence, but their domestic form remains strong. If Grimaldo and Schick find rhythm early, the home side could regain momentum. Freiburg, meanwhile, will aim to frustrate their opponents and capitalize on defensive lapses. Given both teams’ scoring patterns and recent performances, this match is expected to be open and entertaining, with goals likely at both ends.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is Both Teams To Score (Yes) with a 55% probability. Leverkusen’s attacking consistency and Freiburg’s recent scoring form suggest that both sides will find the net in what promises to be a lively Bundesliga encounter.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
4
6
3
7
3.5
6
4
5
5
4.5
7
3
8
2