The DFB-Pokal quarterfinals are set to begin, and the first clash brings together Bayer 04 Leverkusen and St. Pauli. Scheduled for Tuesday, February 3, this encounter promises intensity as both sides aim for a place among the final four. Leverkusen, one of the top Bundesliga teams, enters as the clear favorite, while St. Pauli, struggling in the league, will look to continue its surprising cup run. The knockout nature of the competition, however, often produces unexpected results, and the visitors will hope to defy the odds once again.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen approach this quarterfinal in strong form, having recently defeated Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 on January 31. Over their last five matches, they have recorded three wins and two defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. In the DFB-Pokal, their campaign has been consistent, with two wins and one draw, scoring an average of 2.0 goals while conceding only 0.3 per match. The Werkself have scored in each of their last 22 DFB-Pokal fixtures, underlining their attacking reliability.

At home, Leverkusen’s record is even more impressive. They have found the net in their last 16 home games in the competition, with all of their last ten home matches producing over 2.5 goals. The team has also led at halftime in their last three matches, and in six of their last ten home fixtures. These trends highlight their ability to start strong and maintain control throughout the game.

Historically, Leverkusen have dominated this matchup, remaining unbeaten in their last five head-to-head meetings with St. Pauli (four wins, one draw), averaging 1.6 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded. With a 64% win probability according to the latest data, the hosts are expected to continue their solid run and secure another semifinal appearance.

St. Pauli’s Recent Form and Key Stats

St. Pauli arrive at this stage as one of the tournament’s surprise packages. Despite their poor league form, they have shown resilience in the cup, eliminating two Bundesliga sides along the way. Their most recent outing, however, ended in a 2-1 defeat against FC Augsburg on January 31. Over their last five matches, St. Pauli have failed to win, drawing twice and losing three times, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded per match.

In the DFB-Pokal, their record stands at one win and two draws, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Away from home, the team has struggled to find consistency, with under 0.5 total goals scored in three of their last fifteen away fixtures. Their offensive limitations, combined with defensive vulnerabilities, make this trip to Leverkusen particularly challenging.

Nevertheless, St. Pauli’s journey to the quarterfinals has been commendable. They have shown determination in tight matches, including a dramatic penalty shootout victory over Hoffenheim and a narrow 2-1 win in Mönchengladbach. However, with several key players sidelined and a poor away record, the visitors will need a near-perfect performance to upset the odds.

Leverkusen vs St. Pauli Analysis and Prediction

This DFB-Pokal quarterfinal presents a classic contrast between a top-tier powerhouse and an underdog fighting above its weight. Leverkusen’s attacking depth, home advantage, and consistent scoring record make them heavy favorites. Their ability to dominate early and maintain pressure could prove decisive against a St. Pauli side that often struggles to recover after conceding first.

St. Pauli, on the other hand, will rely on their fighting spirit and defensive organization to stay competitive. Their previous cup performances show they can rise to the occasion, but facing a side of Leverkusen’s caliber away from home is a different challenge altogether. The visitors’ recent form and injury concerns further tilt the balance toward the hosts.

Given the statistical trends, fans can expect an open game with goals on both ends. Leverkusen’s attacking momentum and St. Pauli’s occasional defensive lapses suggest that the match could produce multiple scoring opportunities. The home side’s superior quality and efficiency in front of goal, however, should ultimately make the difference.

Leverkusen vs St. Pauli prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with a 64% probability.