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Prediction published on Oct 29, 2026 2:37 PM by Dario in Germany - Bundesliga | Modified on Oct 29, 2026 2:37 PM
Bayer 04 Leverkusen host VfB Stuttgart at the BayArena on October 31, 2026, with kick-off at 14:30 local time. The Bundesliga meeting brings together a Leverkusen side in fourth place and a Stuttgart team in 15th, but both arrive after cup victories on October 28. Leverkusen recovered from a 2-0 deficit to beat Nürnberg 5-2, while Stuttgart won 1-0 against Paderborn. The hosts have produced stronger recent results, although their uneven performances leave room for Stuttgart to make this an open contest.
Leverkusen have won four of their last five matches, losing the other, and have averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across that run. Their seven Bundesliga games have brought four wins, one draw and two defeats, with averages of 2.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Those figures underline their attacking output, while also showing that opponents have found chances to score against them.
The 5-2 cup win over Nürnberg captured both sides of Leverkusen’s recent form. They fell two goals behind before turning the match around decisively. Coach Carles Martinez was unhappy with the start but praised the second-half response and the players’ determination. It was a welcome recovery after a clear league defeat to Hoffenheim the previous week; Leverkusen had also beaten Freiburg convincingly before that setback. Finding a more consistent level remains the challenge heading into this Bundesliga fixture.
The home scoring record offers encouragement. Leverkusen have scored at least once in each of their last 12 home Bundesliga matches, while their last 13 home matches in all competitions have each featured more than 1.5 total goals. There has also been at least one second-half goal in each of those 13 home games. Across their last 23 matches, 21 have featured a first-half goal, so their recent games have often begun producing goals before the interval.
Leverkusen’s personnel situation is described as broadly stable, though Martin Terrier is unavailable and Victor Boniface has been involved in a dispute over playing time. Gutierrez, Maza and Schick are identified as players in good form. If Leverkusen can give them regular opportunities to influence the game, they will hope to build on their strong home scoring sequence.
Stuttgart have two wins, one draw and two defeats from their last five matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Their Bundesliga record is less convincing: two wins and five losses from seven games, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. The contrast between those league figures and Leverkusen’s recent scoring rate makes Stuttgart’s defensive performance a central question for this trip.
The visitors’ 1-0 win over Paderborn provides a positive result to take into the match, with Undav scoring the decisive goal. The source material describes Stuttgart’s Champions League performances as strong, but says they have struggled to carry that level into domestic competition. Demirovic and Chabot are also highlighted for their current form, giving Stuttgart reasons to believe they can trouble the hosts despite their difficult league start.
There are personnel concerns for Stuttgart. Josha Vagnoman is unavailable, while Angelo Stiller went off during a cup match. Another notable trend is the timing of goals in Stuttgart’s league games: each of their last 26 Bundesliga matches has featured at least one second-half goal. The same is true of their last 13 away Bundesliga fixtures, a pattern that could matter if this contest remains close after the break.
Leverkusen have the stronger recent record and the home advantage, but their comeback against Nürnberg and defeat to Hoffenheim illustrate why a straightforward home victory cannot be taken for granted. Stuttgart’s domestic results have been inconsistent, yet their recent cup win and the attacking players noted above give them a route into the game. Leverkusen’s average of 1.7 goals conceded per Bundesliga match also suggests the visitors could have opportunities.
Goals have been a recurring feature of Leverkusen’s fixtures: their last 12 Bundesliga matches have all contained more than 1.5 total goals. The most recent meeting between these teams finished 3-1 on May 9, 2026. Across the head-to-head sample supplied, Leverkusen have one win, two draws and two defeats, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. That record does not point to a simple outcome, but it adds context to the prospect of another eventful meeting.
The strongest case for this Bundesliga match preview is therefore a game with several goals rather than one decided solely by the teams’ league positions. Leverkusen’s recent scoring figures and long run of home games with multiple total goals support that view, while Stuttgart’s league defensive average leaves an opening for the hosts. At the same time, Leverkusen’s own goals-conceded figure means Stuttgart need not be ruled out of contributing.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 62% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
VfB Stuttgart
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
3
7
2.5
3
7
5
5
3.5
5
5
7
3
4.5
7
3
7
3