Tools
Prediction published on Jan 22, 2026 3:03 PM by Dario in Germany - Bundesliga | Modified on Jan 22, 2026 3:03 PM
The upcoming Bundesliga clash between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Werder Bremen promises to be an intriguing encounter between two sides heading in different directions. Leverkusen are looking to recover from a difficult run of results, while Bremen aim to build on their recent draw and stabilize their campaign. With both teams eager to make a statement, this fixture could deliver plenty of attacking action and drama.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen have endured a challenging spell, suffering a 2-0 defeat against Olympiacos F.C. in the Champions League on January 20, 2026. In their last five matches across all competitions, they have recorded 2 wins and 3 losses, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Despite this dip in form, their overall Bundesliga record remains solid with 9 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per match while conceding 1.5.
At home, Leverkusen continue to be a side that entertains. Over 1.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last 14 home matches, and they have found the net at least once in all of those games. The trend of late goals is also notable, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half of their last 13 home fixtures. However, their recent habit of trailing at halftime in three consecutive matches is a concern that must be addressed if they are to regain consistency.
Currently sitting 6th in the Bundesliga standings, Leverkusen’s main objective is to re-establish their rhythm and push back into the Champions League qualification zone. Their attacking potential remains high, but defensive lapses have cost them valuable points in recent weeks. A strong home performance could be the spark they need to get back on track.
Werder Bremen come into this fixture after a thrilling 3-3 draw against Eintracht Frankfurt on January 16, 2026. While their attacking play showed promise, defensive instability continues to be a major issue. In their last five matches, Bremen have failed to win, drawing twice and losing three times, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 2.6 conceded per game. Their Bundesliga record stands at 4 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match.
On the road, Bremen’s matches tend to be open and unpredictable. Over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 20 of their last 21 away games, highlighting their tendency to be involved in lively encounters. However, their defensive record away from home remains a concern, and they will need to tighten up if they are to challenge a Leverkusen side that thrives in front of goal.
Bremen’s attacking intent and quick transitions could cause problems for Leverkusen, but their defensive fragility might prove costly once again. The visitors will need to find the right balance between aggression and discipline to secure a positive result.
This matchup brings together two teams with contrasting ambitions but similar recent struggles. Leverkusen are under pressure to respond after a series of disappointing results, while Bremen are desperate to halt their winless run. The hosts’ attacking depth and home advantage make them favorites, but Bremen’s ability to score in open play ensures that this could be a high-scoring affair.
Given the statistical trends, goals are expected at both ends. Leverkusen’s home fixtures consistently produce multiple goals, and Bremen’s away games often follow the same pattern. The last meeting between these sides ended in a 3-3 draw, and another entertaining contest could be on the cards.
According to the latest data, the win probabilities stand at 60% for a Leverkusen win, 20% for a draw, and 20% for a Bremen win. The Both Teams To Score – Yes market is rated at 60%, while Over 2.5 goals has a 62% likelihood. These figures underline the expectation of an open and attacking match.
BetMines prediction for Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen:
Home Win (1) with a 60% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Werder Bremen
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
4
6
5
5
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
7
3
9
1