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Prediction published on Apr 10, 2025 9:52 AM by Dario in Germany - Bundesliga | Modified on Apr 10, 2025 9:52 AM
No time to dwell on their respective Champions League defeats against Inter Milan and Barcelona—Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund return to the pitch at the Allianz Arena for one of the most anticipated fixtures of the Bundesliga season. As part of Matchday 29, this clash between Vincent Kompany’s Bayern and Niko Kovac’s Dortmund is set to be a decisive one, with major implications for the title race and European qualification. The hosts are dealing with a significant injury crisis, missing key players such as Upamecano, Davies, and Musiala. With a six-point lead over second-placed Bayer Leverkusen, Bayern cannot afford a misstep, especially against a Borussia Dortmund side desperate for points to avoid missing out on Europe altogether. Dortmund, humiliated 4-0 by Barcelona in the Champions League, may choose to focus their energy on this Bundesliga showdown rather than attempt a near-impossible comeback next week. Given the historic rivalry and what's at stake in the table, Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund promises to deliver goals, intensity, and high entertainment value.
While Bayern Munich have managed to cope well in the Bundesliga without Musiala, Upamecano, and Davies, the same cannot be said for the Champions League, as their 2-1 home loss to Inter showed. That defeat ended a streak of four unbeaten matches (three wins and one draw).
Domestically, they come off a convincing 3-1 away win against Augsburg, maintaining their six-point cushion over Bayer Leverkusen. At the Allianz Arena, Bayern have been nearly unbeatable in the league: 12 wins, 1 draw, and just 1 loss. They're also the highest-scoring home team in the Bundesliga, with 46 goals in 14 matches (an average of 3.28 goals per game).
For Borussia Dortmund, midweek action in Europe was equally bitter, suffering a heavy 4-0 defeat at Camp Nou. They rarely threatened Barcelona, with Guirassy providing the only real danger.
Back in the Bundesliga, however, things have been looking up. With two consecutive wins (the latest being a 4-1 triumph at Freiburg), the Black and Yellows are now three points off sixth place and five from the Champions League zone. Still, Dortmund’s away form remains a concern: 4 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, along with an average of 1.85 goals conceded per game—among the worst records in the league.
Looking at the last five meetings between these sides at the Allianz Arena, Bayern have won four, with Dortmund claiming just one victory—last season. Goals are nearly a guarantee in this fixture: 9 of the last 10 encounters in Munich have featured over 2.5 goals.
Both teams are fighting for critical objectives—Bayern for the title, Dortmund for a European spot. However, the Champions League midweek exertions could play a role, especially for Dortmund who seem more likely to prioritize the Bundesliga now. Kompany, on the other hand, might believe in a comeback in Milan and could rotate his squad more carefully.
Given the attacking firepower on both sides, the BetMines algorithm prediction for Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund forecasts a match with over 2.5 goals.
Bayern Munich (4-2-3-1): Urbig; Laimer, Dier, Kim, Stanišić; Kimmich, Palhinha; Olise, Guerreiro, Gnabry; Kane. Coach: Kompany
Borussia Dortmund (4-2-3-1): Kobel; Bensebaini, Anton, Emre Can, Ryerson; Gross, Chukwuemeka; Adeyemi, Brandt, Beier; Guirassy. Coach: Kovac
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
3
7
6
4
4.5
3
7
7
3