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Prediction published on Oct 7, 2025 7:35 PM by Dario in Europe - WC Qualification Europe | Modified on Oct 7, 2025 8:47 PM
The third matchday of the 2026 FIFA World Cup European Qualifiers continues with an intriguing clash between Belarus and Denmark. The game will be played in Zalaegerszeg, Hungary, with both sides heading into this encounter under very different circumstances. Denmark are looking to consolidate their position at the top of Group C, while Belarus are still searching for their first points after a disappointing start to the campaign. With the Danes in strong form and Belarus struggling to find consistency, this fixture could prove decisive in shaping the early standings of the group.
Belarus enter this match rooted to the bottom of the group standings after two consecutive defeats. Their campaign began with a heavy 5-1 loss to Greece, followed by a 2-0 defeat against Scotland. These results have extended their miserable run in World Cup qualifying, where they have now lost nine matches in a row. The team’s defensive frailties have been evident, conceding an average of 3.5 goals per game in this campaign, while scoring only 0.5 goals per match. Their inability to keep things tight at the back has been a recurring issue, and they have also trailed at half-time in each of their last four qualifiers.
Playing their home fixtures in Hungary has not provided any real advantage. Their last competitive victory dates back to September 2024, when they narrowly defeated Luxembourg. Since then, Belarus have struggled to find rhythm or attacking cohesion. In their last five matches across all competitions, they have failed to win, managing only two draws and three defeats, with an average of 0.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. The lack of creativity in the final third and defensive lapses have left them vulnerable against stronger opposition. Facing a disciplined and confident Danish side, Belarus will need a near-perfect performance to avoid another setback.
Denmark have started their qualifying campaign in solid fashion, collecting four points from their opening two matches. After a goalless draw at home against Scotland, they responded emphatically with a 3-0 away win over Greece. That result not only boosted their goal difference but also reaffirmed their credentials as one of the group’s strongest teams. The Danes have yet to concede a goal in this qualification phase, showcasing the defensive organization that has become a hallmark of their recent performances.
In their last five matches across all competitions, Denmark have recorded two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. Their recent form also includes a series of positive friendly results, where they have scored freely and maintained control in midfield. Despite a mixed Nations League campaign last year (W2, D2, L2), the team appears to have regained its balance and confidence. The Danish defense, which has not been behind at half-time in 30 of their last 33 matches, remains one of the most reliable in Europe. With a blend of experience and emerging talent, Denmark will aim to secure another three points to strengthen their grip on first place.
This encounter presents a clear contrast in form and quality. Belarus are struggling to find any momentum, while Denmark look composed and efficient. The Belarusians’ defensive record is a major concern, having conceded seven goals in just two qualifiers. Their tendency to fall behind early could again prove costly against a Danish side that thrives on controlling possession and exploiting defensive errors. Belarus will likely adopt a cautious approach, focusing on containment and hoping to strike on the counterattack, though their recent scoring record suggests that breaking through Denmark’s defense will be a tall order.
Denmark, on the other hand, will look to dominate proceedings from the outset. Their midfield balance and attacking depth allow them to create multiple scoring opportunities, while their backline remains compact and disciplined. The Danes’ ability to maintain clean sheets and convert chances efficiently makes them strong favorites. Given Belarus’s ongoing struggles and Denmark’s superior form, the visitors are expected to dictate the tempo and create the majority of chances. A win here would keep Denmark firmly in control of Group C ahead of tougher fixtures later in the campaign.
Historically, these two nations have rarely met, with their last encounter dating back to the Euro 2000 qualifiers. However, current form and squad quality make Denmark overwhelming favorites. Belarus’s defensive vulnerabilities and lack of attacking threat suggest that the gap between the sides could be evident once again. Denmark’s recent 3-0 win over Greece demonstrated their clinical edge, and a similar performance could be on the cards in Zalaegerszeg.
The statistical outlook points towards a dominant performance from Denmark. With a 59% probability of victory, they are the most likely winners of this fixture, ahead of the draw at 23% and a Belarus win at 18%. The combination of Denmark’s defensive solidity and Belarus’s poor form makes the visitors strong favorites to claim all three points.
The most likely outcome is a Denmark win (2) with a 59% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Belarus
Denmark
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
3
7
3
7
3.5
5
5
4
6
4.5
6
4
7
3