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Prediction published on Jun 18, 2026 8:02 PM by Dario in World - World Cup | Modified on Jun 18, 2026 8:02 PM
The second round of Group G at the 2026 World Cup brings an intriguing clash between Belgium and Iran, two sides still searching for their first victory of the tournament. Both teams opened their campaigns with draws, leaving the group finely poised with all four nations on one point each. With progression to the knockout stage at stake, this encounter in Los Angeles could prove decisive for their hopes of advancing.
Belgium began their World Cup journey with a 1-1 draw against Egypt, a result that extended their unbeaten run but also highlighted some defensive vulnerabilities. Conceding in the 20th minute before equalising through an own goal, the Red Devils once again showed resilience but lacked the cutting edge to secure all three points. Their recent record remains solid, with three wins and two draws in their last five matches, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
In the World Cup so far, Belgium’s record stands at W0 · D1 · L0, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded. Their attacking play has been consistent, with over 0.5 goals in the second half recorded in 18 of their last 20 matches. Moreover, they have been strong starters, leading at half time in 8 of their last 11 games. However, defensive lapses have cost them clean sheets in five of their last eight fixtures, something they will aim to correct here.
Belgium’s home and neutral-ground performances have also been entertaining, with over 7.5 corners taken in each of their last 18 home matches. This suggests a proactive approach that could again lead to an open and attacking contest. With their ranking of 4th in the World Cup standings after the first round, the Red Devils will be eager to turn dominance into victory and strengthen their position in the group.
Iran also began their campaign with a draw, sharing the spoils in a thrilling 2-2 encounter against New Zealand. Twice they came from behind, showing determination and attacking intent. Their performance metrics were encouraging, registering 17 total shots and an expected goals figure of 1.50, though only four of those efforts were on target. This underlines both their offensive potential and the need for greater precision in front of goal.
Over their last five matches, Iran have recorded three wins, one draw, and one defeat, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Their current World Cup record mirrors Belgium’s at W0 · D1 · L0, with an average of 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Ranked 2nd in the group after the opening round, the Persian Cheetahs have shown they can compete effectively against higher-ranked opponents.
Iran’s recent form indicates a team that thrives on momentum. They are unbeaten in their last four matches (W3, D1) and have lost only once in regulation time across their previous eight (W4, D3, L1). Their attacking duo and creative full-backs have been instrumental in maintaining this run, and their ability to recover from setbacks could again prove vital against Belgium’s experienced defense.
This fixture promises to be a fascinating tactical battle between two sides that combine attacking flair with occasional defensive fragility. Belgium’s approach often relies on controlling possession and creating chances through the flanks, while Iran’s counter-attacking style and direct play have yielded consistent scoring opportunities. Both teams have shown a tendency to concede, which could make this an open and entertaining contest.
Belgium’s challenge lies in converting dominance into goals. Their recent matches have seen them create numerous chances but struggle to finish games off. Iran, on the other hand, have demonstrated resilience and an ability to respond under pressure. Their comeback against New Zealand showcased both mental strength and attacking depth, attributes that could trouble Belgium’s backline.
Given the balance of strengths and weaknesses, this match could hinge on defensive discipline and efficiency in front of goal. Belgium’s experience at major tournaments may give them a slight edge, but Iran’s energy and determination cannot be underestimated. Both sides are capable of finding the net, and the statistics suggest that goals at both ends are likely.
According to the latest data, the win probabilities stand at Belgium 52%, Draw 24%, and Iran 24%. The Both Teams To Score – Yes market shows a probability of 55%, while the Over 2.5 goals option also holds a 55% likelihood. These numbers reflect the attacking potential of both teams and their recent defensive records.
Considering the trends and performances from matchday one, the most plausible scenario points towards another high-tempo encounter with opportunities for both sides. Belgium’s attacking consistency and Iran’s counter-attacking threat align with the expectation of goals at both ends.
Belgium vs Iran prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 55% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Belgium
Iran
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
3
7
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
5
5
7
3
4.5
5
5
9
1