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Belgrano
1 - 1
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Huracán
Prediction published on Sep 2, 2026 10:05 PM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Sep 2, 2026 10:05 PM
Belgrano host Huracán in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol on September 4, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 22:00 local time at Estadio Julio César Villagra in Ciudad de Córdoba. The hosts enter the fixture fifth in the competition rankings, five places above tenth-placed Huracán. Home advantage could be significant: Belgrano have won four of their last six matches on their own ground and defeated Huracán in three of the last five home meetings between the sides. The visitors, meanwhile, have found wins difficult to secure on the road. Their away record in the Clausura includes only one victory, while they lost 2-0 against Sarmiento de Junín and 2-1 against Independiente Rivadavia. With both teams also producing modest scoring averages, this fixture points towards a competitive contest in which clear chances may be limited.
Belgrano prepared for this match with a goalless draw against Atlético Tucumán on August 30. Their last five matches have delivered two wins, one draw and two defeats, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and only 0.6 conceded per game. Those figures show that recent Belgrano fixtures have generally been tight, with the team giving little away even when results have varied.
Across the Liga Profesional de Fútbol season, Belgrano have recorded 13 wins, eight draws and six defeats. They are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded, reinforcing the impression of a side whose strongest numbers come from defensive control rather than consistently high-scoring performances. Their position in fifth also keeps them inside the playoff qualification places after the opening seven rounds of the second half of the year, matching the position in which they finished the previous tournament.
The first-half trends are particularly striking. At least one team failed to score before the interval in 34 of Belgrano's last 35 league matches and in 37 of their last 39 games across all competitions covered by the data. There were also fewer than 1.5 first-half goals in 32 of their previous 35 league fixtures and 35 of their last 39 matches overall. These sequences suggest that Belgrano frequently begin cautiously, keeping games balanced before looking for an opening as the contest develops.
Playing at home gives Belgrano an additional source of confidence. They have collected four victories from their last six appearances at Estadio Julio César Villagra, while their recent home record against Huracán includes three wins from five meetings. The overall win probabilities also favor the hosts, assigning them a 42% chance of victory, compared with 29% for the draw and 29% for an away win.
Huracán arrive after drawing 1-1 with Estudiantes de Río Cuarto on August 29. Their last five matches have produced one victory, three draws and one defeat. They scored an average of just 0.6 goals per game during that run and conceded at the same rate, underlining how narrow their recent contests have been.
The visitors have accumulated seven wins, 12 draws and six losses in the current Liga Profesional de Fútbol season. Their season averages stand at 0.9 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. The high number of draws and the low averages at both ends indicate that Huracán have often remained competitive without turning close matches into victories. Their broader run is also difficult: they have won only two of their last 13 games.
Away form is the main concern ahead of this trip. Huracán have secured only one Clausura victory away from home, while the defeats against Sarmiento de Junín and Independiente Rivadavia exposed the difficulty they have experienced as visitors. Even so, their defensive trends suggest that Belgrano may still need patience. Huracán have not been behind at half-time in 18 of their last 20 matches.
Low-scoring patterns dominate the visitors' statistics:
The statistical picture points towards a measured match rather than an open exchange. Belgrano possess the stronger seasonal record, the higher ranking and a favorable run of home results. They have also conceded an average of only 0.7 goals across the league season and 0.6 over their last five matches. Those numbers give the hosts a solid platform, particularly against a Huracán side averaging 0.9 goals for the season and only 0.6 across its latest five outings.
Huracán can still make the game difficult. Three draws in their last five matches and 12 across the season show how regularly they remain in close contests. Their sequence of 18 half-time results without a defeat from the last 20 matches also supports the prospect of a balanced opening period. However, their limited number of away victories and the fact that they have won only twice in their last 13 games leave Belgrano with the clearer opportunity to take control.
The head-to-head record is evenly balanced over the summarized five-match sample, with Belgrano registering two wins, one draw and two defeats while averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The latest meeting finished 3-1 on March 3, 2026, but the broader current trends point to fewer goals this time. Both teams have low recent scoring averages, Belgrano repeatedly feature in restrained first halves, and Huracán's long under-3.5 run extends across both league and away fixtures.
The supplied probabilities strengthen that interpretation. The chance of both teams scoring is 43%, compared with 57% for at least one side failing to find the net. More significantly, the under-2.5 goals outcome is rated at 64%, while over 2.5 stands at 36%. Belgrano's home advantage may eventually prove decisive, but the available evidence makes a controlled, low-margin encounter the most coherent overall expectation.
Belgrano vs Huracán prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 64% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Belgrano
Huracán
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
3
7
1.5
4
6
5
5
2.5
7
3
9
1
3.5
9
1
10
0
4.5
10
0
10
0