Tools
Benevento
2 - 2
FT
Audace Cerignola
Prediction published on Apr 25, 2026 10:02 AM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone C | Modified on Apr 25, 2026 10:02 AM
The final day of the Serie C: Girone C season brings a celebratory atmosphere to this clash between Benevento and Audace Cerignola. The home side have already secured the league title and promotion to Serie B, turning this fixture into a symbolic farewell in front of their supporters. After a long and successful campaign, the hosts will look to finish on a high note, especially following a disappointing 0-1 home defeat in their previous post-title match. For the visitors, however, this encounter still carries competitive significance, as they aim to strengthen their position in the playoff zone and build momentum for the upcoming knockout phase.
Benevento approach this match as champions, sitting comfortably at the top of the Serie C: Girone C table with an impressive record of 25 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats. Their season-long consistency has been built on a solid defense, conceding only 0.7 goals per match on average while scoring 2.0 goals per game. Despite their dominance, recent results show a slight dip in intensity, understandable given their early promotion. In their last five matches, they have recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, including a 1-1 draw against SSC Giugliano on April 19, 2026.
Interestingly, Benevento’s recent fixtures have been relatively low-scoring. Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 11 league matches, and in 29 of their last 31 games, at least one team failed to score in the second half. These trends underline a pragmatic approach, with the team often managing games efficiently once in control. With the title already secured, the main motivation now lies in delivering a final home performance worthy of their season’s achievements.
Audace Cerignola enter this fixture with a clear objective: to sharpen their form ahead of the playoffs. Currently ranked 8th in the Serie C: Girone C standings, they have accumulated 14 wins, 11 draws, and 12 defeats so far. Their campaign has been marked by inconsistency, but also by resilience, as shown in their recent 1-1 draw against Team Altamura on April 19, 2026. Over their last five matches, they have mirrored Benevento’s record with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring an average of 1.0 goal per game while conceding 1.8.
One notable pattern in Cerignola’s recent outings is their attacking persistence after halftime: Over 0.5 goals in the second half have been scored in each of their last 11 league matches. This suggests that the visitors often find their rhythm as the game progresses, a factor that could prove crucial against a relaxed but still dangerous Benevento side. Historically, Cerignola have struggled in this matchup, losing 0-4 in the reverse fixture on December 19, 2025, and failing to beat Benevento in their last five head-to-head meetings (2 draws, 3 losses).
This encounter presents a contrast in motivation and mindset. Benevento will likely approach the game with a celebratory spirit, focusing on entertaining their fans and maintaining their unbeaten home record against Cerignola. Their defensive discipline and ability to control tempo have been key throughout the season, and even with reduced pressure, they remain a formidable opponent. The hosts’ challenge will be to balance enjoyment with concentration, avoiding the complacency that sometimes follows early success.
Audace Cerignola, on the other hand, have everything to play for. A positive result could improve their playoff seeding and boost morale heading into the decisive phase of the season. Expect them to adopt a proactive approach, especially in the second half, when their attacking numbers tend to rise. However, their defensive fragility—averaging nearly two goals conceded per match recently—could be exploited by Benevento’s efficient front line. The visitors’ main task will be to stay compact and capitalize on any lapses in focus from the champions.
While Benevento are clear favorites according to the win probabilities (64% for a home win, 21% for a draw, and 15% for an away win), the motivational context could narrow the gap. The champions may rotate or play with less intensity, giving Audace Cerignola opportunities to find the net. Given the visitors’ recent scoring patterns and Benevento’s tendency to manage games conservatively, a balanced contest with limited goal margins seems likely. The historical dominance of Benevento and their defensive strength suggest that the home side should still have enough to control proceedings, but Cerignola’s playoff ambitions could make this a more competitive fixture than expected.
Benevento vs Audace Cerignola prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 64% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Benevento
Audace Cerignola
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
4
6
1
9
2.5
7
3
4
6
3.5
9
1
5
5
4.5
10
0
6
4