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Prediction published on Oct 25, 2026 6:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Oct 25, 2026 6:02 PM
Benevento host Catanzaro at Stadio Ciro Vigorito on Tuesday, October 27, with kick-off at 18:00 local time. The Serie B midweek fixture brings together teams in contrasting form: fifth-placed Benevento arrive after a 3-0 away win over Arezzo, while Catanzaro sit 20th following a 6-1 home defeat to Ascoli. Benevento have taken three wins, a draw and a defeat from their last five matches. Catanzaro have won once in the same span, and new coach Mignani has had only two days with his squad before this trip.
Benevento delivered their latest statement at Arezzo on October 24, winning 3-0. Their last five matches have produced three victories, one draw and one defeat, with averages of 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. That recent record gives them a strong platform for a home fixture against the side at the bottom of the Serie B standings.
Across the league season, Benevento's record stands at four wins, two draws and two defeats. They have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, a narrower scoring margin than in their most recent five games. The difference between those figures helps show why their current run matters: they are creating more separation on the scoreboard while conceding slightly less often.
Scoring consistency is another point in the hosts' favor. Benevento have scored at least once in 20 of their last 21 home matches and in 27 of their last 29 matches overall. They have also avoided trailing at half-time in 20 of their last 22 matches, including 19 of their last 21 at home. Those trends do not guarantee an early lead, but they underline how regularly Benevento remain competitive from the opening half.
There has been a second-half goal, counting both teams, in each of Benevento's last 11 matches. That is a match-total trend rather than a claim that Benevento themselves scored after the break every time. It nevertheless gives this preview another detail to watch if Tuesday's contest is still close at half-time.
Catanzaro face a difficult turnaround after losing 6-1 at home to Ascoli on October 24. The result was followed by the departure of Gorgone and the appointment of Mignani, who has had just two days with the team ahead of the Benevento match. A change in charge offers the visitors an opportunity to respond, although there has been little time to prepare for a trip to a side in strong recent form.
The visitors' last five results comprise one win, one draw and three defeats. During that stretch, they have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per match. Their full Serie B record is one win, one draw and six defeats, with averages of 1.1 goals for and 2.5 against. According to the match context, Catanzaro have conceded 20 league goals, the highest total in the division.
Their recent defeat was severe, but the broader numbers are also a concern. Catanzaro have gone four matches without a win, losing to Ascoli, Mantova and Sampdoria and drawing with Verona. Scoring against Benevento is possible on the evidence of their 1.2-goal average over the last five games; keeping the hosts out is the more pressing question given their own defensive record and Benevento's long run of scoring at home.
Catanzaro's matches have also tended to clear a modest goals threshold. There have been more than 1.5 total goals in their last 20 away Serie B matches, as well as in 29 of their last 30 league games. A second-half goal by either team has featured in 24 of their last 26 Serie B fixtures and in 18 of their last 20 away league matches. These figures describe total match goals, not goals scored solely by Catanzaro.
The central question in this Benevento vs Catanzaro preview is whether the visitors can limit a home side that has scored in 20 of its last 21 matches at Stadio Ciro Vigorito. Benevento's recent 3-0 win, stronger five-match record and lower goals-conceded average all favor the hosts. Catanzaro, meanwhile, must respond to a heavy defeat while adapting to a coaching change on a short timetable.
The head-to-head summary also favors Benevento: across the five meetings listed, they have three wins and two draws, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded. It points to a positive record for the hosts, though those games should be kept separate from the teams' current form. More immediately, Catanzaro's frequent matches with at least two total goals sit alongside Benevento's reliable home scoring record.
There is a clear case for a competitive response from Catanzaro under Mignani, and Benevento's last five matches have included both a draw and a defeat. Still, the available results and season statistics give the home side the stronger case. If Benevento reproduce their recent attacking output, Catanzaro will need a marked improvement on their defensive averages to take something from this Serie B fixture.
Benevento vs Catanzaro prediction from BetMines: Benevento win (1) with 54% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Benevento
Catanzaro
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
4
6
2
8
3.5
7
3
5
5
4.5
9
1
8
2