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Prediction published on Apr 11, 2026 7:03 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone C | Modified on Apr 11, 2026 7:03 PM
The upcoming Serie C: Girone C clash between Benevento and Cavese promises to be an intriguing encounter, albeit with very different motivations for the two sides. The hosts have already secured promotion and will approach this match without pressure, while the visitors still need points to ensure safety. The game is scheduled for Monday evening at the Vigorito Stadium, where the atmosphere will be celebratory for the home fans but tense for the visitors, who cannot afford to relax.
Benevento have been the dominant force in Serie C: Girone C this season, sitting comfortably at the top of the table. Their campaign has been marked by consistency and efficiency, with 25 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats so far. The team averages 2.0 goals scored per match and concedes only 0.7, underlining their balance between attack and defense.
At home, Benevento have been nearly unbeatable. They are unbeaten in their last 17 home matches in the league, scoring at least one goal in each of those games. Their ability to start strong is also notable: they have led at half time in 10 of their last 16 home fixtures. The most recent result, a 1-0 away win against Salernitana on April 6, further confirmed their solid form. Over the last five matches, they have collected 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat, scoring an average of 1.2 goals and conceding 0.6.
Even though promotion is already secured, the home side will want to maintain their unbeaten streak and celebrate their success in front of their fans. Their previous head-to-head record against Cavese also favors them, with 3 wins in the last 3 meetings and an average of 1.7 goals scored per match.
Cavese approach this match with a completely different mindset. Sitting in 13th place in the standings, they are just one point above the relegation play-out zone. Their recent form shows some resilience but also inconsistency: 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 defeat in their last five matches, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 0.8 conceded.
Their latest result, a 1-1 draw against Atalanta II on April 8, demonstrated their fighting spirit but also highlighted their difficulty in turning draws into wins. Over the course of the season, Cavese have recorded 8 wins, 13 draws, and 14 defeats, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match. Their games tend to be tight and low-scoring, especially in the first half: Under 1.5 goals at half time have been recorded in 19 of their last 20 matches, and in 38 of their last 40 fixtures at least one team failed to score before the break.
On the road, Cavese often struggle to find the net, with Under 0.5 goals scored in 3 of their last 10 away matches. However, their motivation to secure safety could push them to take more risks than usual, especially against a Benevento side that might rotate or relax after achieving promotion.
This fixture brings together two teams at opposite ends of the table but with contrasting psychological approaches. Benevento will likely play with freedom, enjoying the moment and possibly giving opportunities to fringe players. Cavese, on the other hand, will be driven by necessity, knowing that every point could be crucial in their battle to avoid the play-outs.
Historically, Benevento have dominated this matchup, winning all recent encounters, including a 1-0 away victory in December 2025. Their attacking consistency and defensive solidity make them clear favorites, but the visitors’ urgency could make this a more competitive game than expected. Given Cavese’s tendency to keep matches tight and Benevento’s relaxed approach, a low-scoring contest cannot be ruled out.
Still, the home side’s record at the Vigorito is formidable, and even a slightly rotated lineup should be capable of maintaining control. Cavese’s best hope may lie in exploiting any defensive lapses or moments of distraction from a team already celebrating promotion.
Considering the data and probabilities available, the BetMines prediction for this match points to a Benevento win (1) with a 66% probability. The draw (X) stands at 21%, while an away win (2) for Cavese is estimated at 13%. Given the hosts’ unbeaten home record and superior form, Benevento are expected to close their season in style, even if Cavese manage to find the net.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Benevento
Cavese
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
4
6
3
7
2.5
7
3
9
1
3.5
9
1
9
1
4.5
10
0
10
0