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Prediction published on Mar 13, 2026 2:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone C | Modified on Mar 13, 2026 2:01 PM
The upcoming clash between Benevento and Foggia in Serie C: Girone C promises to be a decisive one for both ends of the table. The home side have been unstoppable this season, extending their lead at the top after a convincing 0-2 victory away to Sorrento. With a twelve-point gap over their nearest rivals, Benevento are marching confidently toward promotion. On the other hand, Foggia are enduring a nightmare campaign, sitting bottom of the standings and struggling to find form. The match, scheduled for Sunday, March 15 at 14:30, could further underline the gulf between the two sides.
Benevento have been the dominant force in Serie C: Girone C, showing consistency and quality throughout the season. Their record of 23 wins, 4 draws, and only 4 defeats speaks volumes about their superiority. Averaging 2.2 goals scored and just 0.7 conceded per match, they have built their success on both attacking efficiency and defensive solidity. The recent 0-2 win over Sorrento extended their unbeaten streak to 16 consecutive league matches, while they remain undefeated in their last 15 home games.
At home, Benevento have been particularly impressive, scoring in each of their last 15 home fixtures. They often start strong, having led at half-time in 9 of their last 14 home matches. The team’s ability to maintain intensity throughout the match is also evident, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half in 12 consecutive home games. Their attacking rhythm rarely falters, as they have found the net in 19 of their last 20 matches overall. These numbers confirm that Benevento are not only consistent but also relentless in their pursuit of victory.
With such dominance, it’s no surprise that Benevento are heavy favorites heading into this fixture. However, maintaining focus will be crucial to avoid complacency against a struggling opponent.
For Foggia, the situation could hardly be worse. The team sits at the bottom of the Serie C: Girone C table, ranked 20th, and their recent performances have been alarming. They come into this match after a 0-1 home defeat to Potenza Calcio, marking their ninth consecutive loss in the league. Over their last five matches, Foggia have failed to collect a single point, scoring only 0.4 goals per game while conceding 1.6 on average.
Their season record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 19 defeats highlights the scale of their struggles. Defensively, they have been fragile, conceding in each of their last 17 matches. Away from home, the numbers are equally discouraging: Foggia have failed to win in 20 of their last 21 away fixtures, losing most of them after trailing at half-time in 8 of their last 12 away games. Their lack of attacking threat and defensive discipline has left them vulnerable against every opponent, and facing the league leaders away from home will be a daunting challenge.
Even their set-piece and corner statistics reflect a lack of attacking presence, with under 8.5 corners in each of their last nine matches and under 7.5 corners in the last five. Foggia’s main task will be to contain Benevento’s relentless attack and avoid another heavy defeat.
Historically, Benevento have dominated this fixture. In their last five head-to-head meetings, they have recorded 3 wins and 2 draws, scoring an average of 2 goals per match while conceding only 0.4. The most recent encounter ended in a 0-3 away victory for Benevento, further emphasizing the gap between the two sides.
Given the current form and statistical trends, everything points toward another comfortable home win. Benevento’s attack is firing on all cylinders, while Foggia’s defense continues to leak goals. The hosts are expected to control possession, create numerous chances, and potentially secure the result early. For Foggia, the main objective will be damage limitation and trying to regain some confidence after a series of disappointing performances.
From a betting perspective, the probability figures underline Benevento’s superiority: 78% chance of a home win, compared to just 7% for Foggia and 15% for a draw. The goal markets suggest a cautious outlook, with Under 2.5 goals favored at 59%, while Both Teams To Score – No also stands at 59%. This aligns with the expectation of a one-sided match dominated by the home team.
Considering Benevento’s attacking momentum and Foggia’s defensive frailties, a victory by more than one goal margin seems plausible. The hosts have often led at half-time and maintained control until the final whistle, making a home win with handicap -1 a logical betting choice for those seeking higher value.
Benevento vs Foggia prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 78% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Benevento
Foggia
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
4
6
7
3
2.5
7
3
8
2
3.5
9
1
9
1
4.5
10
0
10
0