Benevento and Modena begin their Serie B campaign on Saturday, August 22, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 19:00 at Stadio Ciro Vigorito. The hosts return to the division after three seasons in Serie C and enter the new campaign with considerable ambition, while Modena are looking to build on last season’s sixth-place finish and strengthen their position around the playoff places. The available Serie B ranking lists Benevento fourth and Modena sixth, while the early match data gives the home side the clearer advantage. However, both clubs have already been involved in eventful cup fixtures, with Benevento losing 4-1 to Fiorentina and Modena suffering a late 3-2 defeat against Venezia.

Benevento Recent Form and Key Statistics

Benevento are back in Serie B following three unexpected years in the third tier. The club has retained much of the squad from the previous campaign while making selected additions. Okereke arrived from Cremonese after playing in Serie A last season, while Salvemini remains an important attacking option after scoring 15 goals in Serie C. Continuity also extends to the technical area, with Antonio Floro Flores staying in charge.

The hosts have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat across their last five matches. They averaged 2.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game during that sequence, figures which underline both their attacking output and the open nature of several recent contests. Their latest result was the 4-1 loss away to Fiorentina on August 14, although the cup defeat does not erase the positive elements of their broader form.

Benevento’s scoring consistency is one of the strongest themes ahead of this Serie B match. They have found the net in 20 of their last 21 games, while also scoring at least once in 19 of their previous 20 home fixtures. Those numbers suggest that the promoted side have regularly created enough chances to make an impact, particularly when playing on their own ground.

The home record provides another source of encouragement. Benevento have avoided defeat in 19 of their last 20 home matches, a sequence that makes them difficult to oppose in the double-chance market. They have also reached half-time without being behind in 18 of those 20 home games. Their ability to remain competitive during the opening period could be especially important in a season opener against an established Serie B opponent.

Modena Recent Form and Key Statistics

Modena enter the new campaign aiming not only to confirm their playoff credentials but also to improve on last season. They finished sixth after a promising start and produced encouraging football for long stretches of the campaign. The main uncertainty concerns Galloppa, whose experience is limited, but the opening competitive performance offered some positive indications despite the result.

Modena lost 3-2 away to Venezia on August 15, conceding the decisive goal only in the closing minutes after creating plenty during the match. That performance showed that the visitors can contribute to an entertaining contest, although it also extended an uneven recent run. Across their last five fixtures, Modena have collected two victories, one draw and two defeats, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding 0.8 per game.

Their longer-term Serie B statistics point towards a more controlled profile than the five-goal match against Venezia might suggest. Fewer than 3.5 total goals were recorded in 25 of Modena’s last 27 league games. In addition, at least one side failed to score before half-time in 28 of their previous 30 Serie B fixtures. These trends indicate that Modena’s league matches have frequently stayed within moderate scoring limits, particularly during the first half.

There is nevertheless a notable concern in their away data: Modena have been behind at half-time in each of their last three Serie B matches on the road. That sequence will be tested against a Benevento side that has rarely trailed at the interval in home fixtures. Managing the opening phase therefore appears central to the visitors’ prospects of taking a positive result.

Benevento vs Modena Match Analysis

The statistical picture gives Benevento a measured advantage without making a home victory inevitable. The supplied probabilities assign the hosts a 49% chance of winning, compared with 27% for the draw and 24% for a Modena victory. The match odds follow a similar pattern, pricing Benevento at 2.37, the draw at 3.20 and Modena at 3.10.

The strongest argument in Benevento’s favour is their outstanding run of home results. Avoiding defeat in 19 of 20 matches at Stadio Ciro Vigorito demonstrates sustained reliability, while scoring in 19 of 20 home appearances gives them a dependable route into the contest. The presence of Okereke and the retained Salvemini adds to the attacking context explicitly surrounding the promoted team.

Modena should not be dismissed, particularly after creating opportunities in the narrow defeat to Venezia. Their average of only 0.8 goals conceded across the last five matches also shows that the 3-2 cup loss was not representative of every recent performance. At the same time, their three consecutive half-time deficits in away Serie B games create a clear contrast with Benevento’s strong first-half home record.

The goal markets are finely balanced. Both Teams To Score is split evenly at 50% for Yes and 50% for No, while Under 2.5 goals holds a narrow 52% edge over Over 2.5 at 48%. The available odds price Under 2.5 at 1.80 and Over 2.5 at 2.00. Although Benevento’s last-five averages and both recent cup scores provide an attacking angle, Modena’s run of 25 Under 3.5 results in 27 Serie B matches supports a more cautious assessment of the total-goals market.

The previous head-to-head meeting ended in a 2-1 victory on May 13, 2023. Across the supplied head-to-head summary, Benevento have one win and one draw with no defeats, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Combined with their long unbeaten home sequence and the current 49% home-win probability, that record makes protection on Benevento the most coherent conclusion, while still respecting Modena’s ability to compete.

Benevento vs Modena prediction from BetMines: Benevento or Draw (1X) with 76% probability.