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Prediction published on Nov 14, 2025 12:03 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone C | Modified on Nov 14, 2025 12:03 PM
The upcoming Serie C clash between Benevento and Monopoli promises to be a fascinating encounter, not only for its implications in the standings but also for the off-field drama surrounding the home side. Despite sitting third in the table and just two points behind the leaders, Benevento made headlines this week by parting ways with coach Gaetano Auteri. The decision, reportedly due to internal disagreements with club president Vigorito, has left the team in a delicate situation. Former Napoli striker Floro Flores, who was in charge of the youth team, will temporarily take over the bench for this match. His debut comes in a crucial fixture scheduled for Sunday, November 16, at 12:30, against a Monopoli side that has been performing well this season and will not be an easy opponent.
Despite the managerial turmoil, Benevento approach this match in strong form. They are currently third in Serie C – Girone C, having collected 8 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats so far. The team has averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match, showing both attacking consistency and defensive solidity. Their most recent outing was a convincing 3-0 away victory over Foggia on November 9, a result that reaffirmed their credentials as promotion contenders.
In their last five matches, the Sanniti have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat, scoring an average of 2 goals per game while conceding just 0.4. At home, they have been particularly dominant, winning at half time in each of their last five home fixtures. This early control of matches has been a key factor in their success at the Stadio Ciro Vigorito. Only three of their last twelve home games have seen fewer than 0.5 total goals, underlining their ability to find the net regularly in front of their fans.
Nevertheless, the sudden coaching change introduces an element of uncertainty. The players will need to adapt quickly to Floro Flores’ instructions, and the pressure will be immense. A victory would not only consolidate their position near the top but also ease tensions within the club. On the other hand, a draw or defeat could further complicate the atmosphere around the team.
Monopoli travel to Benevento sitting sixth in the standings, a respectable position that reflects their solid start to the campaign. Their record in Serie C – Girone C stands at 6 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match. The Puglian side drew 1-1 against Casertana in their most recent outing on November 9, a result that extended their unbeaten run to three matches.
In their last five fixtures, Monopoli have achieved 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat, scoring an average of 1.6 goals while conceding 0.8. However, their away form remains inconsistent. Their last trip ended in a heavy 4-0 defeat at Catania’s Massimino Stadium, suggesting that they can struggle when facing stronger opposition away from home. This inconsistency could be a concern as they prepare to face one of the league’s most efficient home sides.
From a statistical perspective, Monopoli’s matches tend to be tight affairs. The team’s recent games have featured relatively few corners, with under 10.5 corners recorded in each of their last 21 Serie C fixtures, and fewer than 7.5 in their last five away matches. This pattern reflects a pragmatic approach, focused on defensive organization and quick transitions rather than sustained attacking pressure.
This fixture brings together two sides with contrasting dynamics. Benevento, despite internal turbulence, remain one of the most complete squads in the division, combining experience with attacking depth. Their ability to dominate early in matches and maintain defensive discipline has been a hallmark of their campaign. The home crowd will expect a strong response after a turbulent week, and the players will be eager to prove their commitment under the new interim coach.
Monopoli, meanwhile, have built their success on collective effort and tactical discipline. Their defensive structure has been reliable, but they have occasionally struggled to contain more technically gifted opponents. Against Benevento, they will likely adopt a cautious approach, aiming to frustrate the hosts and exploit counterattacking opportunities. The key for the visitors will be maintaining compactness and avoiding early setbacks, as Benevento have shown a tendency to take control of matches within the first half.
Historically, this fixture has not favored Benevento. In their last five head-to-head meetings, the Sanniti have failed to win, recording 2 draws and 3 defeats, with an average of just 0.2 goals scored per game. The most recent encounter ended in a 0-0 draw on February 3, 2025. However, given Benevento’s current form and home advantage, this could be the perfect opportunity to break that negative streak.
All signs point to a competitive match, with Benevento expected to push hard from the start while Monopoli aim to stay compact and counter. The outcome may depend on how quickly the home side adapt to their new coach’s guidance and whether Monopoli can withstand the early pressure.
Benevento vs Monopoli prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is a Benevento win (1) with a 62% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 24%, while a Monopoli win (2) stands at 13%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Benevento
Monopoli
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
4
6
3
7
2.5
7
3
7
3
3.5
9
1
10
0
4.5
10
0
10
0