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Benfica vs Estoril Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Liga Portugal 03-01-2026

Benfica

3 - 1

FT

Estoril

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
A. Gonçalves Rodrigues
moderate rain 13.22 °C

Prediction published on Jan 1, 2026 7:02 PM by Dario in Portugal - Liga Portugal | Modified on Jan 1, 2026 7:02 PM

The first weekend of 2026 in Liga Portugal Betclic brings an intriguing clash between Benfica and Estoril at the Estádio da Luz. Scheduled for Saturday evening, this fixture marks the closing round of the league’s first half and promises to deliver plenty of excitement. The home side enters the match after a 2-2 draw away to Braga, a result that left them ten points behind the leaders and five behind second place. For Benfica, this encounter represents a crucial opportunity to regain momentum and keep their Champions League qualification hopes alive. Estoril, meanwhile, arrive in Lisbon in good spirits, sitting comfortably in mid-table and eager to test themselves against one of the league’s giants.


Benfica’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Benfica have been one of the most consistent teams in Liga Portugal this season, remaining unbeaten after 16 rounds. Their record of 10 wins and 6 draws reflects both attacking power and defensive stability. The team averages 2.1 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per match, underlining their balance across the pitch. In their last five league games, Benfica have collected four wins and one draw, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per match while conceding just 0.4. The 2-2 draw at Braga ended a four-match winning streak but extended their unbeaten run to 21 league matches.


At home, Benfica have been particularly dominant. They have scored in 19 of their last 20 home matches and have not lost at half time in their last 17 at the Estádio da Luz. Their ability to start strong is also reflected in the fact that they have led at half time in six of their last ten home league games. Despite missing several players through injury, including Bruma and Alexander Bah, the team continues to show depth and resilience. Key figures such as Pavlidis, Aursnes, and Otamendi have been instrumental, combining leadership, creativity, and finishing power to keep the team competitive on all fronts.



  • Benfica are 3rd in Liga Portugal with 36 points.

  • Unbeaten in 21 league matches.

  • Average goals scored: 2.1 per match; conceded: 0.6.

  • Have scored in 20 of their last 21 league games.

  • Won at half time in 6 of their last 10 home matches.


Estoril’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Estoril have enjoyed a solid campaign so far, sitting 9th in the table with 20 points. Their season record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats shows a team capable of competing with anyone on their day. In their last five matches, Estoril have registered two wins, one draw, and two losses, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. The highlight of their recent form came in a convincing 4-1 victory over Alverca, which followed an impressive 1-0 win against Braga. These results have boosted confidence ahead of their trip to Lisbon.


Estoril’s attacking approach has been one of their trademarks this season. They have seen Over 0.5 goals at half time in each of their last 14 matches, and Over 1.5 total goals in 19 of their last 20 away games. Their offensive mindset often leads to open, entertaining encounters. Forward Yanis Begraoui has been in fine form, leading the team’s scoring charts with eight goals, while Rafik Guitane and João Carvalho have provided creativity and energy in midfield. Defensively, Boma and Bacher have been key figures, ensuring stability in Cathro’s three-man back line. Despite a few long-term injuries, Estoril remain a well-organized and ambitious side.



  • Estoril are 9th in Liga Portugal with 20 points.

  • Last match: 4-1 win against Alverca.

  • Average goals scored: 1.7 per match; conceded: 1.6.

  • Over 0.5 goals at half time in last 14 matches.

  • Over 1.5 total goals in 19 of last 20 away games.


Benfica vs Estoril Analysis and Prediction


This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting ambitions but similar attacking intent. Benfica will look to bounce back from their draw at Braga and reaffirm their dominance at home, where they have been nearly unbeatable. Their offensive rhythm, led by Pavlidis and supported by Aursnes, should once again be a major threat. On the other hand, Estoril have shown they can compete against stronger sides, often finding ways to score even in difficult away fixtures. Their recent scoring consistency suggests they will not shy away from attacking opportunities at the Luz.


Historically, Benfica have dominated this matchup, winning all of the last five head-to-head meetings and averaging two goals per game while conceding just 0.4. However, Estoril’s current form and attacking confidence could make this encounter more balanced than previous ones. Both teams have been involved in matches with multiple goals recently, and given their respective styles, another high-scoring contest seems likely.


Considering the data and recent performances, the BetMines prediction for this match points towards Both Teams To Score (Yes) with a probability of 44%. Benfica’s attacking consistency and Estoril’s offensive courage make this outcome a realistic scenario for Saturday’s clash at the Estádio da Luz.

Benfica vs Estoril - Predictions

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Benfica vs Estoril: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Benfica

Estoril

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

0%

0

100%

10

40%

4

60%

6

2.5

20%

2

80%

8

60%

6

40%

4

3.5

60%

6

40%

4

80%

8

20%

2

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Benfica and Estoril in Liga Portugal

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

3

Benfica

34

23

11

0

74:25

80

2.35

W
W
D
D
W
10

Estoril

34

10

9

15

54:57

39

1.15

L
L
D
D
L
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Who will win ?

Benfica vs Estoril: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Benfica vs Estoril be played?
The Liga Portugal match between Benfica and Estoril will be played on January 3, 2026 at 18:00.
Where will Benfica vs Estoril be played?
The match between Benfica and Estoril will be played at Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica, Lisboa - Portugal
Who will referee Benfica vs Estoril?
The referee for the match will be A. Gonçalves Rodrigues.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Benfica vs Estoril in the Liga Portugal?
The odds are: Benfica to win 1.20, draw 7.00, Estoril to win 12.00.
What are the betting odds for Benfica vs Estoril for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Liga Portugal?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.44 and Under 2.5 at 2.70.
Will both Benfica and Estoril score in the Liga Portugal?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.95, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.80.
What is the most likely correct score for Benfica vs Estoril in the Liga Portugal?
The most likely correct score is 2-0, with odds of 7.
What are the head-to-head results between Benfica and Estoril?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Benfica and Estoril, Benfica won 5 times, Estoril won 0, and 0 ended in a draw.

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