Benfica welcome Estoril in one of the standout fixtures of the fourth round of Liga Portugal on Monday, August 31, 2026. Kick-off is scheduled for 19:15 local time at the Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica in Lisboa. The hosts enter the match after securing their place in the league phase of the Europa League, while Estoril are still searching for their first league victory of the season. Benfica are seventh in the standings after playing two matches, whereas the visitors occupy 16th place following one draw and two defeats. Recent results, attacking numbers and the head-to-head record all give the home side a clear advantage, but Estoril will hope to play without pressure and make the most of any opportunities that come their way.

Benfica's Recent Form and Key Statistics

Benfica extended their positive sequence with a 3-1 away victory against AGF on August 27. That result completed another successful European performance after the Portuguese side had also won the first leg of the playoff 3-1. Gianluca Prestianni delivered an influential display in the latest meeting, helping Benfica control much of the contest and create enough chances to have won by a wider margin.

The Eagles have recorded three wins and two draws in their last five matches, scoring an average of 3.2 goals and conceding 1.0 per game. Their current winning run stands at three official fixtures, during which they have struck 13 times. In their most recent Liga Portugal appearance, they defeated Casa Pia 7-0, producing their biggest result of the campaign so far.

Benfica have collected one win and one draw from their opening two league games, with averages of 4.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Their longer-term Liga Portugal sequence is particularly impressive: the hosts are unbeaten in their last 25 league matches and have scored at least once in each of their previous 16 games in the competition. They have also found the net in 21 consecutive matches across the broader statistical run.

• Benfica's last 16 Liga Portugal matches have all produced more than 1.5 total goals.
• They have scored at least twice in 19 of their last 21 league fixtures.
• The Eagles have scored two or more goals in each of their previous 10 home league matches.
• Their last six Liga Portugal games have produced more than 3.5 total goals.
• Benfica have led at half-time in their last three league matches and their last four home fixtures.

The home side's threat is spread across several attacking options. Vangelis Pavlidis has scored 10 goals so far, while Gianluca Prestianni and Rafa Silva have five each. Prestianni's form has increased the competition involving Andreas Schjelderup, while Leandro Barreiro and Enzo Barrenechea have also been important in the team's recent performances. In defense, Tomás Araújo and Clément Lenglet have developed greater familiarity, with Alessandro Circati making his Benfica debut during the victory in Denmark. Fredrik Aursnes and Daniel Banjaqui are doubts for this fixture, while there is also interest in whether João Palhinha will be included.

Estoril's Recent Form and Key Statistics

Estoril make the short trip after a difficult start to their Liga Portugal campaign. They have earned one point from three matches, drawing 1-1 with Famalicão before suffering consecutive defeats. Their latest outing ended in a 2-0 home loss to Rio Ave on August 22. Estoril looked for the opposition goal regularly in that game, but defensive shortcomings and a lack of finishing efficiency proved costly.

The previous defeat followed a challenging visit to Nacional. Estoril began that match positively and created opportunities, but Xeka was dismissed in the 32nd minute after receiving two yellow cards. The team then declined physically and emotionally during the second half, conceding twice on the way to another loss. Xeka is expected to return to the midfield after serving his suspension.

Across their last five matches, the visitors have registered three draws and two defeats, averaging only 0.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Their league figures stand at 0.3 goals scored and 1.7 allowed per match. Estoril have also been behind at the interval in seven of their last 10 Liga Portugal fixtures, an especially relevant concern against opponents who have repeatedly started strongly.

João Carvalho and Yanis Begraoui are among Estoril's main offensive resources. Carvalho contributes to the construction of attacks, moves into finishing areas and offers a threat from distance. Begraoui has scored the team's only league goal of the season. Rafik Guitane provides another possible source of danger, while Joel Robles, Ferro and Ismael Sierra are among the five players, together with Carvalho and Begraoui, who have completed all three league matches.

Benfica vs Estoril Match Analysis

The statistical contrast points toward a match in which Benfica should have the initiative. The hosts are producing frequent chances, scoring heavily and entering the contest after three straight wins. Estoril, by comparison, have not won in their last five matches and have failed to score in their two most recent league defeats. Benfica's ability to establish early control could be decisive, especially as the Eagles have led at half-time in eight of their last 11 home league games, while Estoril have often gone into the break behind.

The recent head-to-head record strengthens Benfica's position. They have won all five matches included in the supplied summary, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. The latest meeting ended in a 3-1 Benfica victory on May 16, 2026. Estoril's ambitious approach may give them chances to contribute offensively, but it could also leave space for a home attack that has scored at least twice in 19 of its last 21 Liga Portugal matches.

The match probabilities assign Benfica a 76% chance of victory, compared with 16% for a draw and 8% for an Estoril win. There is also a 58% probability of more than 2.5 goals, supported by Benfica's recent scoring output and the run of high-scoring league fixtures involving the hosts. Nevertheless, the clearest overall conclusion comes from the difference in form, finishing efficiency and head-to-head results. Estoril may compete with freedom, but Benfica's sustained momentum makes the home side the more convincing choice.

Benfica vs Estoril prediction from BetMines: Benfica win (1) with 76% probability.