Favourites
Settings

Benfica vs Hearts Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Europa League 06-08-2026

Benfica

7:00 PM

August 6, 2026

Hearts

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Marian Alexandru Barbu
sky is clear °C

Prediction published on Aug 4, 2026 7:04 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Aug 4, 2026 7:04 PM

Benfica welcome Hearts to Lisbon on Thursday, August 6, 2026, for the first leg of their UEFA Europa League third qualifying-round tie. Both clubs have an important opportunity at stake across the two matches: the winner will progress to the Europa League playoff round, while the defeated side will transfer to the Conference League league phase. Benfica enter the fixture after eliminating St. Gallen 6-2 on aggregate, including an emphatic 5-0 home victory on July 30. Hearts arrive in less encouraging competitive form following three consecutive defeats, the latest a 2-1 loss away to Aberdeen. With Benfica aiming to establish a commanding advantage before the return leg and Hearts attempting to halt their losing sequence, this Benfica vs Hearts preview points to an important opening contest.

Benfica Recent Form and Key Statistics

Benfica secured their place in this round by overcoming St. Gallen across two legs. The decisive result came at home, where the Eagles recorded a 5-0 victory on July 30 and completed a 6-2 aggregate success. That performance demonstrated their ability to take control of a European qualifier in Lisbon and gives them a strong result to build upon ahead of another home first leg.

The hosts have won three and lost two of their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.8 goals per game and conceding 1.0. Their Europa League numbers currently stand at one win and one defeat, with averages of 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Benfica have also scored at least once in each of their last 15 matches, while all 15 of those fixtures produced more than 1.5 total goals. These figures underline both their consistent scoring record and the frequency with which their games have moved beyond a single-goal total.

The first half could be particularly important to Benfica's approach. They have avoided a half-time deficit in 21 of their previous 23 matches and have been ahead at the interval in seven of their last ten fixtures. Their home record at the break is similarly notable, with Benfica leading at half time in ten of their last 14 home games. Establishing early control would support their objective of taking a substantial advantage into the second leg.

Corner trends also feature prominently in Benfica's recent matches. More than 7.5 corners were taken in each of their last 20 games, while their previous 12 fixtures all went beyond both 8.5 and 9.5 corners. These are total-match corner figures rather than corners won by Benfica alone, but they still indicate that set-piece situations have appeared regularly in their recent contests.

Hearts Recent Form and Key Statistics

Hearts began their Scottish Premiership campaign with a 2-1 away defeat to Aberdeen on August 1. That result followed their two losses against Sturm Graz in UEFA Champions League qualifying, a tie they lost 6-0 on aggregate. The visitors therefore travel to Lisbon after three successive competitive defeats, all of which have also extended their run to three consecutive losses away from home.

Across their last five matches, Hearts have collected two wins and three defeats, without a draw. They have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game during that sequence. Compared with Benfica's recent average of 2.8 goals, the visitors have produced less attacking output while allowing goals at a higher rate. Reversing those patterns will be central to their chances of keeping the tie manageable before the second leg.

There are nevertheless several recurring match trends around the visiting side. More than 1.5 total goals have been recorded in each of Hearts' last ten games, while more than 7.5 total corners have been taken in their previous 17 fixtures. In addition, 18 of their last 20 away matches have contained at least one first-half goal. These statistics do not determine which team will score or earn the corners, but they show that Hearts' recent matches have regularly produced early activity and multiple overall goals.

The immediate challenge is to improve on the competitive performances against Sturm Graz and Aberdeen. Facing a Benfica team that scored five in its latest home European fixture places further pressure on Hearts to remain competitive from the opening stages. Their recent away sequence makes that task especially demanding, although the two-legged format means limiting the size of any first-leg deficit would preserve more opportunity for the return fixture.

Benfica vs Hearts Match Analysis

The contrast in recent numbers gives Benfica a stronger platform going into this Europa League qualifier. The hosts have scored in 15 consecutive matches, average 2.8 goals across their last five and recently defeated St. Gallen 5-0 at home. Hearts, by comparison, have conceded an average of 1.8 goals over their last five games and arrive after three straight competitive losses. The supplied win probabilities also favour Benfica at 61%, compared with 21% for a draw and 18% for Hearts.

Benfica's half-time record may shape the opening phase. Their frequency of leading at the interval, particularly at home, suggests that the first 45 minutes have often been productive for the Eagles. Hearts' away data adds another relevant element, as at least one first-half goal has been scored in 18 of their last 20 matches on the road. Benfica will want to turn that early-game trend into an advantage, whereas Hearts need to prevent the hosts from building momentum.

The broader goal statistics indicate that both clubs have recently been involved in matches clearing 1.5 total goals: Benfica have done so in 15 consecutive fixtures and Hearts in ten. Their games have also consistently exceeded 7.5 total corners, with Benfica's recent corner sequence reaching 20 matches and Hearts' reaching 17. This combination suggests that goalmouth pressure and set-piece situations may be recurring features of the first leg, although the available BTTS figures are evenly divided at 50% for Yes and 50% for No.

For Benfica, the objective is clear: reproduce the authority shown in the 5-0 win over St. Gallen and travel to the second leg with a meaningful cushion. Hearts must instead respond to their recent defeats, improve their defensive record and avoid allowing the match to move beyond their control. The hosts carry the better recent scoring average and stronger result from the previous Europa League round, while the visitors arrive needing a disciplined performance to keep this third qualifying-round tie open.

Benfica vs Hearts - Predictions

Go premium

This is a PREMIUM functionality. Subscribe now to use this and many other exclusive functionalities

Odds

Go premium

This is a PREMIUM functionality. Subscribe now to use this and many other exclusive functionalities

Benfica vs Hearts: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Benfica

Hearts

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

0%

0

100%

10

10%

1

90%

9

2.5

10%

1

90%

9

20%

2

80%

8

3.5

30%

3

70%

7

70%

7

30%

3

4.5

70%

7

30%

3

100%

10

0%

0

BetMines

Standings of Benfica and Hearts in Europa League

Who will win ?

Benfica vs Hearts: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Benfica vs Hearts be played?
The Europa League match between Benfica and Hearts will be played on August 6, 2026 at 19:00.
Where will Benfica vs Hearts be played?
The match between Benfica and Hearts will be played at Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica, Lisboa - Europe
Who will referee Benfica vs Hearts?
The referee for the match will be Marian Alexandru Barbu.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Benfica vs Hearts in the Europa League?
The odds are: Benfica to win 1.11, draw 9.00, Hearts to win 17.00.
What are the betting odds for Benfica vs Hearts for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Europa League?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.30 and Under 2.5 at 3.40.
Will both Benfica and Hearts score in the Europa League?
The odds for both teams to score are 2.20, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.61.
What is the most likely correct score for Benfica vs Hearts in the Europa League?
The most likely correct score is 3-0, with odds of 7.

Article available in:

Unlock the full BetMines experience

Go Premium and get even more and better data for your bets.

What's included?

What's included

  • Live scanner
  • Pre-Match scanner
  • Value bet bot
  • Backtesting for Pre-Match scanner up to 24 months
  • Trends
  • Advanced team stats
  • Exclusive events in the advanced filter
  • Exclusive events in the BetMines Machine
  • All market predictions unlocked
  • VIP Telegram Group

Try BetMines Premium for free

Unlock scanners, alerts, monitoring and value bets.

  • Live alerts and Monitoring
  • Pre-match scanner and filters
  • Premium predictions and value bets