Birmingham City host Millwall at St. Andrew's Stadium on Tuesday, November 3, in matchday 14 of the Championship. The home side enter the fixture sixth with 23 points from 13 games, while Millwall are 12th with 18 points. Both teams won on October 31, but Birmingham's stronger recent form and unbeaten home record give this meeting a clear focus: can Millwall disrupt a side that has been difficult to beat at St. Andrew's?

Birmingham City's Recent Form and Key Stats

Birmingham City responded to a defeat against Cardiff with a 3-1 win away to Lincoln City. That result gave them four victories in their last five Championship matches. Across those five games, they have averaged 2.2 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded per match, a combination that explains their rise into sixth place.

The Blues have lost only one of their last seven league fixtures and scored at least twice in five of them. Their broader Championship record stands at six wins, five draws and two defeats from 13 matches, with averages of 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Those figures suggest that their recent run has brought an improvement at both ends of the pitch.

Home form is another important part of Birmingham's case. They are unbeaten at St. Andrew's in the Championship this season and have not lost any of their last six home league meetings with Millwall. Their last home defeat to the Lions came in March 2019. For a goals-related measure, more than 1.5 goals have been scored in each of Birmingham's last 10 home matches, counting goals by both teams. There has also been at least one first-half goal in each of their last 12 Championship games.

Millwall's Recent Form and Key Stats

Millwall arrive after a convincing 4-1 victory over Derby County, which ended a three-game winless run. The result showed their scoring potential, but their last five matches have produced a mixed return of two wins, one draw and two defeats. Over that span, they have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

After 13 Championship fixtures, the Lions have five wins, three draws and five defeats. They are five points behind Birmingham in the standings, and their season averages of 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match point to both attacking output and defensive vulnerability. They have conceded 21 league goals so far.

The away record presents the sharper challenge for Millwall in this fixture. They have collected seven points from six league trips this season and won only one of their last five on the road. They have also conceded at least twice in four of those five away league matches. Although the Derby win gives them a positive result to build on, taking that form to an unbeaten Birmingham home side is a different test. At least one second-half goal has been scored in each of Millwall's last 14 Championship matches, counting goals by either team.

Birmingham City vs Millwall Match Analysis

The contrast between Birmingham's home resilience and Millwall's recent away results shapes this Championship preview. The Blues have won four of their last five league games, kept their home unbeaten record intact and avoided defeat in their last six home league encounters with the Lions. Millwall's four-goal display against Derby shows why they cannot be dismissed, yet conceding twice or more in four of their last five away league fixtures is a concern against a Birmingham side scoring freely of late.

The head-to-head record supplied across five meetings is evenly balanced, with two wins for Birmingham, one draw and two wins for Millwall. That wider record argues against treating the fixture as a foregone conclusion. Even so, Birmingham's current form and the venue give the hosts the stronger platform, while Millwall need to improve on their recent away performances to change that picture.

Birmingham City vs Millwall prediction from BetMines: Birmingham City or Draw (1X) with 78% probability.