The first day of 2026 brings an intriguing Championship clash as Blackburn Rovers welcome Wrexham to Ewood Park. Both sides enter the new year with contrasting ambitions: Blackburn are looking to move away from the lower end of the table, while Wrexham aim to stay within touching distance of the promotion play-off zone. The hosts sit 19th in the standings, eight places and seven points behind their Welsh visitors, and will be desperate to start the year with a morale-boosting victory in front of their fans.

Blackburn Rovers’ Recent Form and Key Stats

Blackburn Rovers have endured a difficult campaign so far, collecting just seven wins, six draws and ten defeats in the Championship. Their most recent outing ended in a goalless draw away to bottom side Sheffield Wednesday, a result that extended their unbeaten run to three matches but also highlighted their ongoing struggles in front of goal. Averaging only 1.0 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game, the Rovers have found consistency hard to come by.

At Ewood Park, Blackburn’s record remains one of the weakest in the division, with only two victories from eleven home fixtures. However, there are signs of improvement: their last home league match produced a 2-0 win over Millwall, and they have now gone three home games without defeat. Defensively, the team has tightened up, conceding just three goals across their last five matches. Interestingly, each of their last four home league fixtures has finished with under 2.5 total goals, underlining a trend of low-scoring encounters.

• Under 3.5 goals have been scored in Blackburn’s last 13 Championship matches.


• Under 0.5 goals have been scored in their last two league games.


• Over 8.5 corners have been taken in 18 of their last 20 Championship fixtures.

Despite their modest attacking numbers, Blackburn’s defensive resilience and home improvement could provide a foundation for a positive start to 2026.

Wrexham’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Wrexham arrive in Lancashire buoyed by a 2-1 home victory over Preston North End, a result that lifted them to 11th place in the table. Their season record of eight wins, ten draws and six defeats reflects a balanced campaign, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. The Welsh side remain just four points adrift of the play-off positions, but their away form continues to be a stumbling block in their promotion push.

On the road, Wrexham have managed only two wins from eleven league trips, alongside five draws and four losses. They have failed to win any of their last eight away fixtures, losing the most recent two. A recurring pattern in their away performances has been the lack of goals, with eight of those eleven matches finishing with under 2.5 goals. Their first halves have also been particularly tight, as under 1.5 goals at half time have been recorded in each of their last eleven away Championship games.

• Under 1.5 goals at half time in 19 of Wrexham’s last 21 matches.


• Under 0.5 goals in 3 of their last 15 away fixtures.


• Average goals per away match: 0.9 scored, 1.1 conceded.

While Wrexham’s attacking play has been more effective at home, their defensive discipline on the road often keeps them competitive. However, their inability to convert draws into wins away from home remains a concern.

Blackburn Rovers vs Wrexham Analysis and Prediction

The reverse fixture between these two sides ended in a 1-1 draw in November, and another close contest is expected here. Both teams have shown a tendency toward low-scoring matches, particularly in recent weeks. Blackburn’s last two games have ended goalless, while Wrexham’s away fixtures frequently feature few chances and tight margins. With both sides averaging fewer than 1.5 goals per match in their respective home and away records, a cautious approach could dominate proceedings once again.

Statistically, the numbers point toward a low-scoring affair. Blackburn’s home matches and Wrexham’s away games both consistently fall below the 2.5-goal threshold, and neither side has displayed the attacking sharpness to suggest a high-scoring outcome. The Rovers’ defensive improvement and Wrexham’s compact away structure further reinforce this expectation.

According to the latest data, the win probabilities stand at Blackburn 39%, Draw 28%, and Wrexham 33%. The Both Teams To Score – No outcome is slightly favored at 53%, while the Under 2.5 goals market also holds a 53% likelihood. These figures align closely with the overall trend of recent performances from both sides.

Blackburn Rovers vs Wrexham prediction by BetMines:
Under 2.5 goals with 53% probability.