Tools
Blooming
0 - 2
FT
Carabobo
Prediction published on May 20, 2026 1:03 AM by Dario in South America - Copa Sudamericana | Modified on May 20, 2026 1:03 AM
The upcoming Copa Sudamericana clash between Blooming and Carabobo promises to be a decisive encounter for both sides, albeit for very different reasons. The Bolivian team, already out of contention for qualification, will aim to restore pride in front of their home fans, while the Venezuelan visitors still have everything to play for as they chase a spot in the next round. Despite recent instability in Bolivia, Blooming will be able to host the match in Santa Cruz, a factor that could provide some comfort after a difficult run of results. For Carabobo, this fixture represents a crucial opportunity to strengthen their position in the group before facing a direct rival in the final round.
Blooming have endured a tough campaign both domestically and in the Copa Sudamericana. Their record of 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats in the continental competition reflects a team struggling to find consistency. The Bolivian side has averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per match, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that have cost them valuable points. Their last outing ended in a 3-1 defeat against Independiente Petrolero on May 13, 2026, extending a poor run that includes no wins in their last five matches across all competitions.
At home, Blooming’s performances have been equally disappointing. They began their group stage with a draw against River Plate but followed it up with three consecutive losses, including a heavy 6-0 defeat to RB Bragantino in their most recent home appearance in the tournament. The team has also shown a tendency to start slowly, having lost at half time in 6 of their last 10 Copa Sudamericana matches. However, one consistent trend is their involvement in lively second halves — over 0.5 goals have been scored after the break in 19 of their last 21 matches, suggesting that late drama is often part of their games.
Carabobo arrive in Bolivia in far better shape, having recorded two consecutive victories over Estudiantes de Mérida (2-0 and 1-0). Their overall Copa Sudamericana record stands at 2 wins and 2 defeats, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 0.8 conceded per match. This balance between attack and defense has kept them competitive in the group, where they currently sit 3rd, level on points with RB Bragantino. The Venezuelan side knows that a win in Santa Cruz could prove decisive in their pursuit of qualification, especially with a direct clash against the Brazilian team looming in the final round.
Carabobo’s recent performances show a team capable of grinding out results. In their last five matches across all competitions, they have achieved 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, maintaining a steady defensive record. Their ability to keep clean sheets has been a key factor, and they have been involved in relatively low-scoring games — Under 0.5 goals have been recorded in only 7 of their last 35 matches, indicating that while they rarely play goalless encounters, they tend to control the tempo effectively.
This match presents contrasting motivations. Blooming will play for pride and to end their campaign on a positive note, while Carabobo are under pressure to secure three points that could keep their qualification hopes alive. The Venezuelan side’s recent form and defensive stability make them slight favorites, especially considering Blooming’s struggles at both ends of the pitch. The previous head-to-head meeting ended 2-0 in favor of Carabobo, a result that underlines the gap between the two teams at this stage of the competition.
Statistically, the encounter could feature goals, with Over 2.5 goals occurring in 55% of recent matches involving these sides, and Both Teams To Score hitting in 57% of cases. However, given Blooming’s poor scoring record and Carabobo’s disciplined defense, the visitors appear better equipped to manage the game and capitalize on their chances. The Bolivian team’s defensive lapses, especially in the second half, could once again prove costly against a side that thrives on efficiency.
According to the latest probabilities, Carabobo have a 40% chance of winning, compared to 36% for Blooming and 24% for a draw. These figures align with the general perception that the Venezuelan side holds a slight edge heading into this fixture.
Blooming vs Carabobo prediction from BetMines: Carabobo win (2) with 40% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Blooming
Carabobo
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
5
5
7
3
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
8
2
9
1