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Boca Juniors
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Belgrano
Prediction published on Oct 17, 2025 2:02 PM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Oct 17, 2025 2:10 PM
The upcoming clash between Boca Juniors and Belgrano de Córdoba at the iconic Estadio Alberto J. Armando promises to be an emotional and competitive encounter. Scheduled for Saturday at 18:00 (Argentina time), this fixture marks Boca’s return to official action following the passing of their former coach Miguel Ángel Russo. The atmosphere at La Bombonera is expected to be charged with emotion, as both players and fans pay tribute to a figure who left a lasting mark on the club’s history. Boca postponed their previous match against Barracas Central, while Belgrano arrive in Buenos Aires after three consecutive draws and a six-match unbeaten streak across all competitions.
Boca Juniors approach this match sitting 4th in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol standings, maintaining strong form throughout the season. Their record of 14 wins, 8 draws, and 6 defeats highlights consistency, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. The team’s last home appearance was a resounding 5-0 victory over Newell’s Old Boys on October 5, a result that restored confidence after a 2-1 loss to Defensa y Justicia. Boca’s home ground remains a fortress — they have not lost at half-time in their last 21 home matches, a streak that extends to 17 games in the league.
Despite their solid form, Boca face notable absences. Edinson Cavani is sidelined with an injury, while Alan Velasco will miss the remainder of the season due to a knee problem. This opens the door for Merentiel and Giménez to lead the attack. In midfield, Leandro Paredes returns after international duty with Argentina, bringing experience and creativity. Meanwhile, youngsters Milton Delgado and Dylan Gorosito remain unavailable as they continue their participation in the U20 World Cup. Boca’s immediate objective is to secure direct qualification for the 2026 Copa Libertadores group stage, avoiding the preliminary rounds where they were eliminated earlier this year by Alianza Lima.
Belgrano travel to Buenos Aires in good spirits, currently 10th in the league and unbeaten in their last six matches. Their recent run includes three consecutive draws — 1-1 against Estudiantes, 0-0 with Talleres, and 1-1 versus Barracas Central. Over their last five games, they have recorded 2 wins and 3 draws, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. Despite their resilience, the Córdoba side has struggled to turn draws into wins, which has kept them outside the playoff positions in Zone A.
Statistically, Belgrano’s matches tend to be low-scoring. Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 15 league fixtures, and the same trend applies to their last 10 away games. In fact, five of their last ten away matches have seen under 0.5 goals scored, underlining their defensive discipline but also their limited attacking output on the road. The team will be without Lucas Menossi (suspension) and Santiago Longo (injury), both key figures in midfield. Up front, Franco Jara and Lucas Zelarrayán have been the standout performers, each netting three goals this season. Coach Guillermo Farré has alternated between four and five defenders depending on the opponent, and that tactical flexibility could be crucial against Boca’s attacking power.
Belgrano’s historical record at La Bombonera is far from encouraging. They have not won in this stadium for 11 years and have lost on their last four visits. Their last head-to-head meeting with Boca ended in a 3-1 victory for Belgrano earlier this year, but replicating that result away from home will be a major challenge given Boca’s current momentum and emotional motivation.
This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting ambitions but similar defensive solidity. Boca will look to capitalize on their home advantage and emotional drive to honor their late coach, while Belgrano aim to extend their unbeaten run and strengthen their position in the standings. The hosts have been particularly strong in the first halves of matches, rarely trailing before the break, while the visitors have shown resilience but limited attacking creativity away from Córdoba.
Given Boca’s attacking depth even without Cavani, and Belgrano’s tendency to keep games tight, this encounter could unfold as a tactical battle dominated by midfield control. Boca’s pressing and quick transitions may test Belgrano’s backline, while the visitors will rely on counterattacks led by Jara and Zelarrayán. The emotional factor could also play a role, potentially inspiring Boca to deliver a strong performance in front of their fans.
Boca Juniors vs Belgrano prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Boca Juniors
Belgrano
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
4
6
4
6
2.5
7
3
6
4
3.5
9
1
8
2
4.5
10
0
9
1