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Boca Juniors
1 - 0
FT
Deportivo Riestra
Prediction published on Jan 24, 2026 1:42 PM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Jan 24, 2026 1:42 PM
The new season of the Argentine Liga Profesional de Fútbol kicks off with an intriguing clash between Boca Juniors and Deportivo Riestra. The match will take place at the iconic Alberto J. Armando Stadium, marking the beginning of the Apertura 2026 campaign. For Boca, this is not just another league opener—it’s a chance to start afresh after falling short in the semifinals of the previous tournament and enduring another year without silverware. Meanwhile, Riestra arrive with renewed confidence after their historic Copa Sudamericana triumph, ready to test themselves once again against one of the country’s giants.
Boca Juniors enter this new campaign determined to reclaim their place among the title contenders. Despite a strong finish to 2025, their semifinal exit left a bitter taste. The team’s recent form, however, offers reasons for optimism: four wins in their last five matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and conceding just 0.2 per game. Their only defeat came in a narrow 0-1 loss to Racing Club on December 7, 2025.
One of Boca’s most consistent traits has been their stability before halftime. They have not lost at half time in 21 of their last 22 league matches, a sign of their defensive discipline and tactical organization. At home, this trend is even stronger, with no first-half defeats in their last 19 league games. Matches involving Boca tend to start cautiously, with under 1.5 goals at half time in 19 of their last 21 league fixtures.
However, the team faces a challenge up front. Injuries to key forwards have left them without a natural striker, forcing adjustments in attack. Their preseason included a goalless draw against Millonarios and a 2-1 win over Olimpia, results that showed both their defensive solidity and the need for more creativity in the final third. Still, playing at home and backed by their passionate supporters, Boca will aim to begin the Apertura with a statement victory.
Deportivo Riestra come into this match after a historic 2025 season in which they lifted the Copa Sudamericana for the first time. Yet, their domestic campaign ended on a sour note, losing at home to Barracas Central in the Clausura round of 16. That defeat halted a four-match unbeaten run, but overall, Riestra have shown resilience and consistency, especially away from home.
In their last six away matches, they recorded two wins, three draws, and only one defeat, a record that underlines their ability to compete on the road. Statistically, they are a tough side to break down: they have not lost at half time in 35 of their last 37 league matches, and seven of their last eight away games have been level at the break. Their matches are often tight and low-scoring, with under 0.5 goals in 10 of their last 36 league fixtures.
Riestra’s recent form shows one win, two draws, and two defeats in their last five matches, averaging just 0.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. Their defensive organization remains their main strength, but their limited attacking output could be a concern against a Boca side that rarely concedes at home. The last time these teams met, the match ended 1-1, a result that Riestra would likely consider positive again given the circumstances.
This encounter promises to be a battle of contrasting styles. Boca Juniors will look to dominate possession and press high, while Deportivo Riestra are expected to rely on compact defending and quick transitions. Both teams have shown a tendency toward low-scoring matches, and the data supports a cautious outlook. Boca’s matches frequently feature few first-half goals, while Riestra’s defensive consistency often keeps games tight until the final whistle.
Given Boca’s strong home record and Riestra’s disciplined approach, the match could hinge on a single moment of brilliance or a defensive lapse. The home side’s superior squad depth and attacking options, even with injuries, make them favorites to edge this contest. However, Riestra’s resilience and recent continental success suggest they won’t go down easily.
All indicators point toward a tight and tactical encounter. Both teams have shown strong defensive patterns, and neither tends to concede early. Boca’s home advantage and superior attacking potential make them slight favorites, but the statistics suggest a low-scoring affair.
Boca Juniors vs Deportivo Riestra prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score – No (63% probability).
Additionally, the Under 2.5 goals market appears consistent with recent trends, supported by a 61% probability. Expect a disciplined match where defenses dominate and chances come at a premium.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Boca Juniors
Deportivo Riestra
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
7
3
8
2
3.5
7
3
10
0
4.5
10
0
10
0