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Boca Juniors
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Estudiantes
Prediction published on Aug 3, 2026 10:03 PM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Aug 3, 2026 10:03 PM
Boca Juniors and Estudiantes de La Plata meet in a postponed Liga Profesional de Fútbol fixture from the second round of the Torneo Clausura. Boca will officially be the home side, although the match has been moved to the Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó because of the condition of the pitch at La Bombonera. The change of venue adds another variable to a contest between teams ranked 13th and eighth respectively. Boca are still searching for their first Clausura victory after collecting one point from their opening two games, while Estudiantes responded to an initial defeat by recording a convincing win. Their latest head-to-head meeting ended 2-1 on January 29, 2026, and the broader five-match record gives Boca two wins, Estudiantes one and two draws.
Boca Juniors enter this match after a 2-2 away draw with Newell's Old Boys on August 2, 2026. That result earned Boca their first point of the Clausura following a 3-0 defeat away to Deportivo Riestra in their opening game. The start has therefore created early pressure to secure a victory and restore momentum.
Across their last five matches, Boca have registered two wins, one draw and two defeats. They averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 conceded per game during that sequence. Their wider Liga Profesional de Fútbol numbers are more stable, with eight wins, eight draws and three losses, alongside averages of 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 allowed per fixture.
The strongest statistical pattern surrounding Boca concerns low-scoring home matches. Fewer than 3.5 total goals have been recorded in their last 20 home games, including each of their previous 15 home league fixtures. More significantly, 18 of their last 20 home matches produced under 2.5 goals, and the same outcome occurred in their last 14 home league games. Those figures describe Boca's historical home fixtures, although this match will take place away from their regular ground.
First-half scoring has also regularly remained limited. At least one side failed to score before half-time in 38 of Boca's last 40 matches, while fewer than 1.5 first-half goals were recorded in 18 of their previous 20 home games. Boca have also avoided going into the interval behind in 20 of their last 22 home fixtures.
Álvaro Montero has conceded six goals across his latest three starts, an average of two per appearance. The article also identifies Figal and Costa as part of a defensive unit that has struggled for consistency. Further forward, Paredes, Ascacíbar, Aranda, Villa and Merentiel are among the prominent options, with Flores, Delgado and Velasco also mentioned as rotating alternatives.
Estudiantes de La Plata recovered immediately from a 2-0 home defeat against Independiente by beating Defensa y Justicia 3-0 on August 1, 2026. All three goals in that victory arrived during the first half, providing an emphatic response to the setback in their Clausura opener. Estudiantes have also won their last two away league matches.
The visitors have produced three victories and two defeats in their last five games, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and conceding only 0.6 per match. Their season record in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol stands at ten wins, four draws and five losses. An average of 1.2 goals scored is supported by a particularly strong defensive rate of just 0.5 conceded per fixture.
Fernando Muslera reinforced that defensive record by saving a penalty in the 3-0 win over Defensa y Justicia. He has kept 16 clean sheets in 45 appearances and, according to the supplied information, has made 20 appearances this year while conceding 13 times. At the opposite end, Guido Carrillo contributed a goal and an assist in the latest victory. Tobio Burgos and Tobías Palacios are additional attacking options, while Piovi and Castro have established themselves in midfield.
Estudiantes' trends point strongly toward controlled scorelines. Each of their last 18 away matches finished with fewer than 3.5 total goals, as did their last 15 fixtures overall. In league competition, under 3.5 goals landed in 30 of their previous 31 games. Their away first halves have been especially restrained, with under 1.5 first-half goals in 18 consecutive away fixtures and in their last 15 away league matches.
At least one team has failed to score in the first half in each of Estudiantes' last 31 league games and in 39 of their previous 40 matches across all competitions covered by the statistics. At least one side has also gone without a second-half goal in their last 27 fixtures, highlighting how frequently one period of their matches has remained closed.
The teams approach this game with contrasting immediate momentum. Boca Juniors showed attacking improvement in the 2-2 draw against Newell's Old Boys, but four goals conceded across their first two Clausura fixtures leave clear room for improvement. Estudiantes, meanwhile, arrive after combining three first-half goals with a clean sheet against Defensa y Justicia.
However, the long-term statistics suggest that the latest results should not be viewed in isolation. Boca's extended sequence of low-scoring home games is supported by Estudiantes' run of under 3.5-goal away fixtures. The first-half data is even more consistent: both clubs have repeatedly featured in matches where at least one team failed to score before the interval, while under 1.5 first-half goals has been common for each side.
The venue switch could reduce the relevance of Boca's usual home setting, but it does not remove the importance of their broader defensive and scoring trends. Estudiantes possess the better ranking and stronger recent five-match record, while Boca hold the advantage in the supplied head-to-head summary. Across five meetings, Boca have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, producing a balanced record of two wins, two draws and one defeat.
This Liga Profesional de Fútbol match preview therefore points to a competitive contest in which control may be as important as attacking ambition. Boca need a positive result after their winless Clausura start, whereas
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Boca Juniors
Estudiantes
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
6
4
6
4
3.5
6
4
8
2
4.5
10
0
10
0