Bodø / Glimt welcome NEC Nijmegen to Aspmyra Stadion on August 25, 2026, for the return match of their Champions League playoff tie. The Norwegian side hold a valuable advantage after winning the first leg 3-1 on August 19, leaving NEC with a significant deficit to overturn. A second consecutive appearance in the league phase is now within reach for the hosts, but their recent shortage of clean sheets means the contest is not necessarily settled. With Bodø / Glimt carrying strong attacking form and NEC regularly finding the net, the Champions League preview points toward another eventful encounter.

Bodø / Glimt Recent Form and Key Statistics

Bodø / Glimt enter the second leg in a commanding position. They led the opening match 3-0 before Clement Bischoff reduced the deficit for NEC, producing the final 3-1 scoreline. That away victory demonstrated the hosts’ attacking power while also extending their unbeaten run to 14 matches, with 10 wins recorded during that sequence.

Their broader numbers reinforce the impression of a difficult team to stop. Bodø / Glimt have avoided defeat in 19 of their last 20 matches, while their latest five fixtures produced three victories and two draws. Across those five games, they averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Their Champions League record this season stands at one win and two draws, with averages of 2.7 goals scored and 2.0 allowed per match.

Goals have been a constant feature of their performances. Bodø / Glimt have scored at least once in each of their last 14 matches, while 33 of their previous 35 games featured over 1.5 total goals. The same threshold has been cleared in their last 11 Champions League matches, and all 11 also produced over 2.5 goals. Those figures underline why the home side can approach the return fixture with confidence despite their defensive concerns.

The timing of the goals is also notable. At least one first-half goal was recorded in 25 of Bodø / Glimt’s last 26 matches and in 19 of their previous 20 home fixtures. They have not been behind at half-time in their last 13 games, winning at the interval in 10 of those matches. At home, they have held a half-time lead in 13 of their previous 18 fixtures, including 10 of the last 15 Champions League home games.

NEC Nijmegen Recent Form and Key Statistics

NEC Nijmegen travel to Bodø needing a major response after losing the home leg by two goals. That defeat was their second of the season after five matches. Their latest five-game record consists of one victory, two draws and two losses, with averages of 1.4 goals both scored and conceded.

In this season’s Champions League, NEC have registered no wins, two draws and one defeat. Their competition averages stand at 0.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Although those figures are modest, their recent overall scoring sequence offers encouragement: NEC have found the net in 32 of their last 33 matches. The source article also records goals for the Dutch side in each of their previous four games, even though they did not keep a clean sheet during that run.

NEC showed resilience in the previous qualifying round against Olympiacos Piraeus. Following a 0-0 away draw in the first match, they progressed through a 2-1 home victory after extra time. Their situation is more demanding on this occasion because they must recover from a 3-1 first-leg defeat while playing the return fixture away from home.

The visitors’ matches have frequently provided goals. Over 1.5 total goals occurred in 20 of their last 21 fixtures, while 31 of the previous 33 contained at least one second-half goal. There was also a first-half goal in 19 of NEC’s last 21 away matches. Both teams scored during the second half in 10 of their previous 16 away fixtures, illustrating that their games can remain open after the interval.

Bodø / Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen Match Analysis

The first-leg result gives Bodø / Glimt control of the tie, and the available probabilities also favour the Norwegian team. Their estimated chance of winning is 63%, compared with 19% for a draw and 18% for an NEC victory. The match odds similarly list the hosts at 1.50, with the draw at 4.50 and the visitors at 4.75.

However, Bodø / Glimt’s inability to record a clean sheet across four games prevents complacency. NEC’s goal in the first leg and their strong long-term scoring sequence suggest that the visitors can still create problems. Both teams to score is assessed at 57%, while the same 57% probability is assigned to over 2.5 goals. The only previous head-to-head meeting is the 3-1 first-leg victory for Bodø / Glimt, giving the hosts a record of one win from one encounter, with averages of three goals scored and one conceded.

The early stages could be particularly important. NEC must improve on the first-leg performance and chase a two-goal deficit, while Bodø / Glimt have repeatedly started matches well. The hosts have won at half-time in 10 of their last 13 games and have avoided a half-time defeat throughout that sequence. Combined with a first-half goal in 25 of their last 26 matches and in 19 of NEC’s last 21 away fixtures, the statistical pattern strongly supports action before the break.

Both teams also offer substantial evidence for second-half goals. Every one of Bodø / Glimt’s last 11 Champions League matches featured at least one goal after half-time, as did 33 of their previous 35 fixtures overall. NEC recorded a second-half goal in 31 of their last 33 matches. The hosts therefore possess the form and first-leg cushion to be confident of progressing, but the scoring trends indicate that the return match may still contain opportunities at both ends and across both halves.

Bodø / Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 86% probability.