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Prediction published on Apr 8, 2025 2:06 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Apr 8, 2025 4:19 PM
The UEFA Europa League quarter-finals kick off at the Aspmyra Stadion with the clash between Bodo / Glimt and Lazio. The Norwegian champions, currently sitting on maximum points after the first two matchdays in their domestic league, are on the verge of making history by becoming the first Norwegian side to reach the semi-finals of a European club competition. However, they face a tough test against Lazio, who topped their group stage with 19 points. Bodo / Glimt’s European campaign has exceeded expectations so far. After finishing 9th in the first stage, they eliminated Twente in the playoffs with an extra-time victory and then knocked out Olympiakos in the Round of 16. Lazio, on the other hand, under Marco Baroni, had a flawless group-stage run and returned to the quarter-finals of a European cup for the first time since 2018, after beating Plzen 3-2 on aggregate. Following a solid win against Atalanta in Serie A, the Biancocelesti aim to secure a positive result in the first leg to manage the return fixture more comfortably, especially with the high-stakes Rome Derby against AS Roma looming on Sunday, April 13.
Bodo / Glimt come into this fixture with two consecutive league wins, scoring 4 goals and conceding none, sitting on full points after two Eliteserien rounds. In their last 5 official matches (excluding preseason friendlies), they’ve recorded 4 wins and 1 loss, averaging 4.2 goals scored and just 0.4 goals conceded per game.
The reigning Norwegian champions have been solid at home in this Europa League campaign, with 5 wins and 1 loss, scoring an average of 2.83 goals per match and conceding 1.33. Overall, Knutsen’s side has won their last 6 home games across all competitions, including their most recent 4 Europa League matches.
Lazio come off a crucial 1-0 away win against Atalanta in Serie A, with Danish winger Gustav Isaksen scoring the decisive goal. The Roman club is just two points off fourth place and is enjoying a decent run, with only one loss in their last 7 matches across all competitions (3 draws, 3 wins).
In the Europa League, Lazio’s away record stands at 4 wins and 1 loss, scoring 10 goals and conceding just 3. They've also won 3 of their last 4 away fixtures in all competitions, with their only defeat being a 5-0 loss to Bologna.
This clash could be trickier than expected for Lazio, who are deeply involved in the battle for a top-four Serie A spot and must now face a side that has just started their league season, potentially giving the Norwegians a physical freshness advantage.
Another factor favoring the hosts, despite not being the favorites, is their experience playing on synthetic turf, a surface that has frequently troubled visiting teams at Aspmyra Stadion.
As for team news, Lazio will be without injured Nuno Tavares and suspended Nicolò Rovella, but Alessio Romagnoli returns to anchor the defense. Castellanos is expected to start on the bench again to avoid injury risks. Bodo / Glimt will line up in their usual 4-3-3 formation, with an attacking trio of Sorli, Blomberg, and Hogh, who already boast 7 Europa League goals between them.
For a match that promises to be entertaining, the Bodo / Glimt vs Lazio prediction by BetMines Algorithm predicts that both teams will score at least one goal.
BODO / GLIMT (4-3-3): Haikin; Sjovold, Bjortuft, Gundersen, Bjorkan; Evjen, Berg, Saltnes; Sorli, Hogh, Blomberg. Coach: Knutsen
LAZIO (4-2-3-1): Mandas; Hysaj, Gila, Romagnoli, Marusic; Guendouzi, Vecino; Isaksen, Pedro, Zaccagni; Dia. Coach: Baroni
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Bodø / Glimt
Lazio
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
4
6
7
3
3.5
5
5
9
1
4.5
7
3
9
1