The Serie A Monday night clash sees Bologna host AC Milan at the Stadio Renato Dall’Ara in the closing fixture of Matchday 23. Scheduled for Tuesday, February 3, 2026, this encounter promises to be a fascinating battle between two sides with very different trajectories. Bologna are struggling to regain consistency after a difficult run, while Milan continue their impressive unbeaten streak in the league and remain firmly in the title race.

Bologna’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Bologna approach this game after a mixed sequence of results. Their last five matches across all competitions have produced two wins, one draw and two defeats, with an average of 2.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Despite a strong 3-0 victory over Maccabi Tel Aviv in the Europa League, their domestic form has been less convincing. In Serie A, Bologna have recorded 8 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match.

At home, the team’s recent record has been disappointing. They have lost at half time in their last three home fixtures and have not celebrated a league win at the Dall’Ara since early December. The defensive instability and occasional lapses in concentration have cost them valuable points, particularly in matches where they had taken the lead. However, Bologna’s games tend to be lively: over 1.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last 11 Serie A matches, and there has been at least one goal in the second half in 24 of their last 26 league outings.

Coach Vincenzo Italiano will have to manage without suspended goalkeeper Skorupski, replaced by Federico Ravaglia, while defender Lucumi remains sidelined. In attack, Riccardo Orsolini continues to be the main threat, having found the net again in Europe. The competition for the central striker role remains open among Santiago Castro, Thijs Dallinga and Ciro Immobile, all eager to make an impact.

AC Milan’s Recent Form and Key Stats

AC Milan arrive in Bologna in excellent shape, unbeaten in their last 21 Serie A matches. Their most recent outing ended in a 1-1 draw against Roma, a result that slightly slowed their momentum but extended their run of consistency. Over the last five matches, Milan have collected two wins and three draws, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and conceding just 0.8 per game. Their defensive solidity has been one of the keys to their success, with only one defeat in 22 league fixtures this season (13 wins, 8 draws, 1 loss).

On the road, Milan remain the only Serie A side still unbeaten away from home, boasting six wins and five draws. They have scored at least one goal in each of their last 16 league matches, and over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in their last 14. The Rossoneri have also avoided defeat at half time in 32 of their last 35 matches, showing remarkable consistency and composure.

Even without the injured Santiago Gimenez, Milan’s attacking options remain strong. The duo of Christian Pulisic and Rafael Leao have combined for 15 league goals, while Niclas Fullkrug has recently added crucial contributions, including a decisive strike against Lecce. With such depth in attack, Milan will look to exploit Bologna’s defensive vulnerabilities and maintain their unbeaten away record.

Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview

The recent meetings between Bologna and AC Milan have been relatively balanced. In their last five encounters, Bologna have won twice, drawn once and lost twice, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The most recent clash ended 1-0 in September 2025. Interestingly, both teams have scored in five of the last six matches played at the Dall’Ara, suggesting that this fixture often produces open and competitive football.

From a tactical perspective, Bologna will likely aim to control possession and press high, but their defensive lapses could be exploited by Milan’s quick transitions. The visitors, on the other hand, are expected to rely on their disciplined structure and pace on the wings. Given Bologna’s tendency to concede in the second half and Milan’s habit of scoring late, the closing stages could once again prove decisive.

BetMines Prediction and Final Analysis

Considering the current form and statistical trends, this match appears to favor the visitors. Bologna’s home struggles contrast sharply with Milan’s unbeaten away record and defensive reliability. The data also points to a game with limited scoring potential, as both teams have shown a preference for tight, tactical contests in recent weeks.

Bologna vs AC Milan prediction from BetMines: Double Chance X2 + Under 3.5 goals.

This combination reflects Milan’s 37% win probability and Bologna’s 34%, with a 29% chance of a draw. The Under 3.5 selection aligns with the 56% likelihood of a low-scoring match, making it a balanced and statistically supported option for this Serie A encounter.