The final round of the Serie A first half of the season brings an intriguing clash between Bologna and Atalanta, scheduled for Wednesday, January 7, 2025, at 18:30. Both sides are separated by just one point in the standings, making this a direct battle for mid-table supremacy. The hosts are looking to bounce back after a tough defeat, while the visitors aim to build on their recent momentum and climb higher in the table.

Bologna’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Bologna enter this fixture in search of their first win in five Serie A matches. Their latest outing ended in a 3-1 defeat away to Inter, extending a winless streak that includes two draws and three losses. Despite a strong start to the season, the Rossoblù have struggled to maintain consistency in recent weeks, scoring an average of just 0.6 goals per game while conceding 1.6 in their last five matches.

Over the course of the season, Bologna’s record stands at 7 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. However, their inability to start games strongly has been evident — they have not led at half time in any of their last 15 Serie A fixtures. At home, they tend to keep things tight early on, with under 0.5 goals scored in two of their last ten home matches and eight first-half draws in their last nine at the Dall’Ara.

One encouraging sign for Bologna is their attacking improvement in the second half of games, as over 0.5 goals have been scored after the break in 19 of their last 21 league matches. The return of key attacking players could also provide a boost, especially with Orsolini expected to start after recovering from a minor issue. Still, the team needs to rediscover the rhythm that saw them go on a 12-match unbeaten run earlier in the campaign.

Atalanta’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Atalanta come into this match in excellent form, having won four of their last five games across all competitions. Their most recent victory, a 1-0 home success against Roma, lifted them to eighth place in the Serie A table with 25 points. Over their last five matches, they have averaged 1.2 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded, underlining their defensive solidity and efficiency in front of goal.

So far this season, Atalanta’s Serie A record reads 6 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match. Despite their strong home form, their away performances have been less convincing — only one win in their last six league trips, alongside two draws and three defeats. The team has also struggled to find early goals, with at least one side failing to score before half time in 37 of their last 40 matches.

In terms of head-to-head history, Atalanta have found Bologna a difficult opponent in recent years. The last five meetings between the two sides have produced three Bologna wins, one draw, and one Atalanta victory, with an average of just 1.8 total goals per game. The most recent encounter ended 2-0 in favor of Bologna in April 2025, suggesting another low-scoring contest could be on the cards.

Bologna vs Atalanta Analysis and Prediction

This fixture promises to be a balanced and tactical affair. Bologna’s home advantage and defensive discipline could make it difficult for Atalanta to impose their attacking rhythm, especially given the visitors’ inconsistent away record. On the other hand, Atalanta’s recent form and ability to grind out narrow wins make them a dangerous opponent capable of capitalizing on any lapse in concentration from the hosts.

Statistically, both teams show tendencies toward low-scoring matches. Bologna’s recent games have often been decided by fine margins, while Atalanta’s defensive organization has kept their opponents at bay. Considering that five of the last six head-to-head meetings have featured fewer than three goals, and that Bologna’s home fixtures often start cautiously, the trend points toward another tight encounter.

• Ranking: Bologna 7th, Atalanta 8th


• Last head-to-head: Bologna 2-0 Atalanta (April 2025)


• Average goals per match (Bologna): 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded


• Average goals per match (Atalanta): 1.2 scored, 1.1 conceded


• Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 46%, Under 54%

Given the statistical evidence and the current form of both sides, a low-scoring match appears the most likely outcome. Bologna’s tendency to draw first halves and Atalanta’s compact defensive approach further reinforce this expectation.

Bologna vs Atalanta prediction by BetMines:
Under 2.5 goals with 54% probability.