The upcoming Serie A clash between Bologna and Cagliari at the Dall’Ara promises to be a tense and balanced encounter. Both sides enter this 35th-round fixture with contrasting objectives but similar urgency. The hosts are enduring a difficult spell, while the visitors are looking to secure their top-flight status. With Bologna sitting ninth in the table and Cagliari sixteenth, the stakes remain high for both teams as the season nears its conclusion.

Bologna’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Bologna approach this match in a challenging moment, having lost their last three Serie A games, including a 0-2 home defeat against Roma on April 25. The team’s recent record shows one win and four defeats in their last five outings, with an average of 0.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match. Over the course of the season, Bologna have recorded 14 wins, 6 draws, and 14 losses, maintaining a balanced average of 1.2 goals scored and conceded per game.

Despite their mid-table position, Bologna’s main concern lies in consistency. They have gone 15 consecutive league matches without a draw, a streak that highlights their unpredictable nature. Interestingly, under 3.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last 12 Serie A fixtures, as well as in their last 11 home games. This trend suggests a pattern of tight, low-scoring contests at the Dall’Ara.

Another recurring issue for Bologna has been their slow starts. They have trailed at half-time in their last three matches, often leaving themselves with too much to do in the second half. However, their games tend to open up after the break: over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 26 of their last 29 matches, including 19 of their last 21 home fixtures. This indicates that Bologna’s matches frequently come alive in the later stages.

• Ranking: 9th in Serie A


• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 defeats


• Average goals scored: 1.2 | Average conceded: 1.2


• Under 3.5 goals in last 12 Serie A matches


• No draws in last 15 league games

Cagliari’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Cagliari arrive in Bologna with renewed confidence after a thrilling 3-2 victory over Atalanta on April 27. That result lifted them to 16th place with 36 points, edging them closer to safety. Their recent form shows two wins and three defeats in their last five matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Over the season, Cagliari’s record stands at 9 wins, 9 draws, and 16 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match.

While their home form has been key to their survival push, Cagliari’s away performances remain inconsistent. They have lost their last three away matches, and the last time they suffered four consecutive away defeats in Serie A dates back to late 2023. Nevertheless, their matches on the road tend to be open and eventful: over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 12 away games, and they have conceded at least once in all of them. Moreover, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in each of their last 11 away fixtures, underlining their tendency to be involved in lively finishes.

Despite their defensive fragility, Cagliari have shown resilience and attacking intent in recent weeks. Their ability to find the net, even in defeat, could make them a dangerous opponent for Bologna, especially given the hosts’ current struggles. The visitors’ motivation to secure safety might give them an extra edge in this encounter.

• Ranking: 16th in Serie A


• Last 5 matches: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 defeats


• Average goals scored: 1.1 | Average conceded: 1.4


• Over 1.5 goals in last 12 away matches


• At least 1 goal conceded in last 12 away matches

Bologna vs Cagliari Tactical Overview and Prediction

The head-to-head record between these two sides favors Bologna, who have won four of the last five meetings, including a 2-0 victory in the reverse fixture earlier this season. However, form and momentum currently lean towards Cagliari, who are fighting for survival and come into this match with renewed belief after their recent win.

Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, with Bologna keeping just one clean sheet in their last six matches and Cagliari managing the same record over that span. This could lead to a balanced contest where neither side dominates but both create chances. Given Bologna’s poor home run and Cagliari’s motivation, the visitors might fancy their chances of taking something from the Dall’Ara.

Statistically, the match points towards a low-scoring affair. Bologna’s recent fixtures have consistently stayed under 3.5 goals, while Cagliari’s away games have been open but rarely one-sided. The combination of Bologna’s home struggles and Cagliari’s defensive lapses suggests that a cautious approach from both sides could prevail early on, with more action expected after the interval.

Historically, Bologna have been strong at home against Cagliari, remaining unbeaten in their last 12 home meetings in Serie A (9 wins, 3 draws). Yet, their current form raises doubts about whether they can extend that streak. Cagliari’s recent attacking improvement could make this fixture more competitive than the standings suggest.

Probable Lineups Bologna vs Cagliari

BOLOGNA (4-3-3): Ravaglia; Zortea, Heggem, Lucumì, Miranda; Freuler, Ferguson, Pobega; Orsolini, Castro, Rowe.
CAGLIARI (4-4-2): Caprile; Zé Pedro, Mina, Dossena, Obert; Palestra, Adopo, Gaetano, Deiola; Esposito, Folorunsho.

BetMines Prediction

Bologna vs Cagliari prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 51% probability. The draw (X) follows at 26%, while an away win (2) is estimated at 23%. Given Bologna’s historical dominance at home and Cagliari’s inconsistent away form, the data slightly favors the hosts, though a tight and competitive match is expected.