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Prediction published on May 22, 2025 10:13 AM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on May 23, 2025 3:39 PM
On Saturday, May 24, at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Vincenzo Italiano’s Bologna hosts Patrick Vieira’s Genoa in the final match of the Serie A 2024/25 season. The home side, having won the Coppa Italia, are already qualified for the UEFA Europa League, but they’ll want to end the campaign on a high note after a season that, up until last week’s defeat against Fiorentina, saw them in contention for fourth place. Following back-to-back losses to Fiorentina and AC Milan, the Rossoblù have slipped to eighth place, a step back from last season’s fifth-place finish under Thiago Motta, which secured them a historic spot in the Champions League. Still, lifting the Italian Cup fifty years after their last triumph is a major milestone that overshadows their drop in the table. Bologna will play in Europe for the second consecutive year, a sign of consistent progress and international growth. While Bologna have met their European target via domestic cup success, Genoa have long secured safety in Serie A and are guaranteed to finish in 13th place, regardless of the final matchday results. Despite their comfortable position, Patrick Vieira’s side have shown commitment till the end—drawing against Napoli two weeks ago and putting in solid performances, albeit in defeats, against Milan and Atalanta. This final fixture of the season brings together two satisfied teams, ready to play open football and deliver one last entertaining performance for their fans.
Bologna have lost their last two Serie A matches—3-1 to AC Milan and 3-2 to Fiorentina—conceding six goals, the same number they had allowed in the previous nine league games. In their last five outings, they’ve picked up one win, two draws, and two defeats, averaging 1 goal scored and 1.4 conceded per match.
The Rossoblù have accumulated 62 points so far from 16 wins, 14 draws, and 7 losses, with 56 goals scored and 44 conceded across 37 matches. In 2025, Vincenzo Italiano’s men are unbeaten at home in Serie A, with seven wins and three draws, totaling 24 points. They haven’t lost at the Dall’Ara since a 3-2 defeat to Hellas Verona on December 30.
Despite some encouraging performances, Genoa haven’t won since April 4, when they beat Udinese 1-0. Since then, the Ligurian side have managed just two draws and four defeats. Their most recent loss came in a 3-2 thriller against Atalanta, in which Andrea Pinamonti scored a brace, bringing his tally to 10 goals.
This poor run hasn’t affected their league position, as they remain comfortably in 13th with 40 points (9 wins, 13 draws, 15 losses). Genoa are the lowest-scoring away team in Serie A, with just 13 goals in 18 away matches. They are winless in their last 10 away games, drawing five and losing five, approaching the negative record of 12 straight away matches without a win, set in the 2009/10 season under Gian Piero Gasperini.
Despite winning just one of their last 11 Serie A matches against Genoa (five draws, five losses), Bologna come into this match as the clear favorites for all three points. They are unbeaten at home in 2025, while Genoa have yet to win away from home this calendar year and possess the league’s worst away attack.
Bologna will be eager to celebrate with their fans, capping off their Coppa Italia triumph and back-to-back European qualification with a victory. Genoa, for their part, will aim to replicate their strong display in Naples and end the campaign with a confidence-boosting result ahead of next season.
Key players to watch include Riccardo Orsolini, who has netted 14 Serie A goals and scored in each of the last two rounds, and Andrea Pinamonti, who would become the first Italian to score 10+ goals in three of the last four Serie A seasons with another strike.
For the prediction of Bologna vs Genoa, valid for the 38th day of Serie A, the BetMines algorithm predicts a clear victory for Vincenzo Italiano's team, favoured above all by the home factor.
BOLOGNA (4-2-3-1): Ravaglia; De Silvestri, Beukema, Casale, Lykogiannis; Freuler, Pobega; Orsolini, Fabbian, Ndoye; Dallinga. Coach: Vincenzo Italiano
GENOA (4-2-3-1): Leali; Sabelli, Bani, De Winter, Martin; Frendrup, Masini; Norton-Cuffy, Messias, Vitinha; Pinamonti. Coach: Patrick Vieira
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Bologna
Genoa
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
6
4
6
4
3.5
7
3
10
0
4.5
9
1
10
0