Tools
Prediction published on Oct 15, 2026 4:34 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Oct 15, 2026 4:34 PM
Bologna host Inter at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara on October 17 in the seventh round of the 2026/27 Serie A season. The match is scheduled for 16:00 local time. Bologna arrive after their first league win of the campaign, a 2-1 victory away to Lecce, but face an Inter side that leads the table with five wins and a draw from six matches. The visitors must respond to a 4-3 home defeat against Club Brugge in Europe. With Bologna showing signs of improvement and Inter scoring consistently, this fixture brings together a home side looking to build momentum and a league leader seeking an immediate reaction.
Bologna had taken two points from their opening five league games before beating Lecce on October 11. Riccardo Orsolini and Jay Enem scored in that 2-1 away win, which followed the appointment of Raffaele Palladino after Domenico Tedesco was dismissed. Bologna are now unbeaten in their last two matches, with one victory and one draw.
After six Serie A fixtures, the hosts have a record of one win, two draws and three defeats and sit 14th. They have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per league match. Across their last five matches, their record is one win, two draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 conceded. The Lecce result offers encouragement, although it remains Bologna's only league victory so far.
Home results have often been close: Bologna have drawn four of their last five matches at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. Their games have also regularly featured a goal after the interval. There has been at least one second-half goal in 18 of Bologna's last 20 home matches, as well as in 26 of their last 29 Serie A fixtures. Those figures describe total goals in the matches, not necessarily goals scored by Bologna.
Inter remain unbeaten in Serie A this season, collecting five wins and one draw from six games to take first place. Their league averages stand at 3.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. In their previous league fixture, they beat Parma 3-0, but that result was followed by a 4-3 home loss to Club Brugge on October 13. It was their fourth consecutive Champions League defeat, making their return to domestic action an important opportunity to respond.
Across all competitions, Inter's last five results comprise three wins, one draw and one defeat. They have averaged 3.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in that span. Their scoring run stretches further back: Inter have found the net in each of their last 20 matches, including all of their last 16 Serie A games. They have also avoided defeat in those 16 league fixtures. At least two total goals have been scored in 19 of Inter's last 20 matches.
Travel has provided a different test. Inter have won just one of their last four away games in all competitions, despite their strong overall league record. Their away matches have tended to start with scoring, however: each of Inter's last 10 away fixtures has featured at least one first-half goal. They have also led at half-time in nine of their last 14 Serie A away matches. Cristian Chivu will be without Lautaro Martinez for the trip to Bologna.
For Bologna, Massimo Pessina is expected in goal. Matteo Darmian, Torbjorn Heggem and Arthur Theate are possible defensive starters, with Juan Miranda and Nadir Zortea providing width. Lewis Ferguson and Tommaso Pobega could feature in midfield, while Nicolò Cambiaghi and Federico Bernardeschi may support Roberto Piccoli in attack. Emil Holm and Riccardo Orsolini are unavailable through injury.
With Martinez absent, Marcus Thuram could be partnered by Francesco Pio Esposito in Inter's attack. Alessandro Bastoni, Yann Bisseck and Benjamin Pavard are contenders in defence. Federico Dimarco and Andy Diouf could take the wide roles, with Petar Sucic, Aleksandar Stankovic and Nicolò Barella among the midfield options. Curtis Jones is out, while John Stones remains a doubt.
Inter's league position, unbeaten run and scoring record make them formidable opponents, but Bologna have reasons to approach the game with greater confidence than their early-season results suggested. Palladino's side have taken four points from their last two matches, while four draws in five home fixtures indicate that visitors have not found it straightforward to win at the Dall'Ara. Inter's single victory in their last four away games across all competitions adds another consideration.
The previous meeting finished 3-3 on May 23, 2026. Across the supplied head-to-head record, Bologna have one win, three draws and one defeat against Inter, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. That record points to a competitive matchup rather than a one-sided contest, although Inter's current league scoring average is considerably higher than Bologna's.
The opening period is especially worth watching. Inter have scored in 20 consecutive matches, and each of their last 10 away fixtures has produced a goal before half-time. Bologna's home games more often feature scoring after the break, so the timing trends are not identical, but Inter's away figures provide a clear first-half pattern. Bologna's recent improvement and Inter's response to their European defeat should give both teams plenty to play for from the outset.
Bologna vs Inter prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 79% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Bologna
Inter
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
5
5
3
7
3.5
6
4
5
5
4.5
9
1
6
4