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Prediction published on Apr 17, 2025 10:16 AM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Apr 18, 2025 12:53 PM
At the Renato Dall’Ara Stadium, on Sunday, April 20th, Bologna managed by Vincenzo Italiano hosts Simone Inzaghi’s Inter in one of the most anticipated matches of Matchday 33 in Serie A. This clash has high stakes as both teams are chasing crucial season objectives: Bologna fighting for a UEFA Champions League spot and Inter aiming for the Scudetto. It’s a showdown between the fifth and the first place teams in the league. The home side, after drawing with Napoli and losing to Atalanta, now face another top-tier opponent. However, this time Bologna will look to earn points to stay on track for their second consecutive qualification for the UEFA Champions League. Avoiding a loss is key, especially with tough fixtures ahead against Juventus, AC Milan, and Fiorentina. No matter the outcome, this has already been a memorable season for Italiano’s side, who are also just one step away from the Coppa Italia final after beating Empoli 3-0 in the first leg of the semi-final. While Bologna’s campaign has been more than respectable, Inter’s season could go down in history. The Nerazzurri are still alive in all competitions and dreaming of repeating their iconic 2009/10 treble. Simone Inzaghi’s men face a packed end to the season, including the Coppa Italia semi-final second leg against AC Milan and the UEFA Champions League semi-final first leg against Barcelona, scheduled for April 30th. Inzaghi must keep his team sharp and manage rotations carefully to avoid turning a season of promise into one of regrets. With the Champions League quarter-finals behind them, the focus now returns to Serie A, and earning a win at a tough ground like Bologna’s is essential.
Bologna are coming off a 2-0 loss to Atalanta, which ended an impressive seven-match unbeaten streak (6 wins, 1 draw). Despite the setback, they remain fifth in the table with 57 points from 15 wins, 12 draws, and 5 losses—firmly in the Champions League race. So far in Serie A, Orsolini and his teammates have averaged 1.59 goals scored and 1.12 conceded per match.
At home, Bologna have been particularly strong. In their last 8 Serie A games at the Dall’Ara, they’ve recorded 6 wins and 2 draws—including notable victories like 2-1 vs AC Milan and a 5-0 thrashing of Lazio. Overall, they've earned 33 home points (9 wins, 6 draws, 1 loss), with an average of 1.87 goals scored and just 0.87 conceded per game.
Inter are currently in a phenomenal run of form, unbeaten in their last 13 matches across all competitions. Their latest result was a 2-2 draw with Bayern Munich, which secured a spot in the UEFA Champions League semi-finals, and before that, they defeated Cagliari 3-1 in Serie A.
The Nerazzurri lead the Serie A table with 71 points (21 wins, 8 draws, 3 losses). They also boast the best attack in the league with 72 goals scored (2.25 average per game) and have conceded just 0.97 goals per game. The only slight concern for Inzaghi is their away form: in their last 5 Serie A away games, they’ve managed only 1 win, along with 2 draws and 2 defeats.
Both Bologna and Inter desperately need a win—Bologna to stay in the UCL race and Inter to maintain their lead in the title race. Given Inter’s midweek clash with Bayern, Bologna may look to start aggressively and put pressure on Sommer and his backline early.
Bologna's proactive playing style under Italiano could actually play into Inter’s hands. As shown in their Champions League matches against Bayern, Inzaghi's team thrives on quick counter-attacks and exploiting the spaces left by attacking opponents.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Inter have won 5, Bologna 2, and there have been 3 draws—including the 2-2 draw earlier this season in January, with goals from Dumfries and Lautaro for Inter, and Castro and Holm for Bologna.
In terms of lineup news, Bologna will be without key players Skorupski and Ferguson, both of whom were sorely missed against Atalanta. Inter, meanwhile, will be missing Dumfries and Thuram, and with a tight schedule ahead, Simone Inzaghi could opt for some squad rotation.
Considering the Nerazzurri's moment of form, the BetMines Algorithm prediction for Bologna vs Inter sees the guests slightly favoured to win.
Bologna (4-2-3-1): Ravaglia; Holm, Beukema, Lucumì, Miranda; Freuler, Pobega; Orsolini, Odgaard, Ndoye; Castro. Manager: Vincenzo Italiano
Inter (3-5-2): Sommer; Pavard, De Vrij, Bisseck; Darmian, Barella, Calhanoglu, Mkhitaryan, Carlos Augusto; Arnautovic, Lautaro. Manager: Simone Inzaghi
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Bologna
Inter
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
0
10
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
9
1
7
3