The Coppa Italia quarter-final between Bologna and Lazio promises to be a thrilling encounter, closing out the round on Wednesday, February 11. The match at the Dall’Ara Stadium brings together two sides with contrasting domestic form but equal ambition in the cup. The hosts, defending champions, aim to keep their title hopes alive despite a difficult league campaign, while the visitors see the competition as a chance to add silverware to an otherwise inconsistent season. Bookmakers suggest a balanced contest, with Bologna slightly favored due to home advantage and a nearly full squad available.

Bologna’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Bologna enter this match hoping to rediscover their winning touch after a disappointing run in Serie A. The recent 0-1 home defeat to Parma marked their sixth loss in the last nine home fixtures, underlining their current struggles. Despite this, the Coppa Italia remains a vital opportunity to salvage the season and secure a route back into European competition. The team’s record in the tournament so far shows one win, with an average of 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game.

In their last five matches across all competitions, Bologna have managed just one victory, one draw, and three defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match. Their defensive fragility has been evident, as they have kept a clean sheet only once recently — in the Europa League clash against Maccabi Tel Aviv. However, the home side can take confidence from their historical head-to-head record against Lazio, with three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five meetings, averaging 1.8 goals scored per game.

• Over 0.5 goals in the second half have been scored in the last 12 Bologna matches.


• Under 0.5 goals have been recorded in only 2 of their last 10 Coppa Italia games.


• Head-to-head record vs Lazio: W 3 · D 1 · L 1.

Coach Vincenzo Italiano is expected to rotate slightly but still field a competitive lineup. With De Silvestri sidelined, options like Zortea and Juan Miranda could feature in defense, while Nikola Moro may start alongside Freuler in midfield. Up front, Odgaard, Cambiaghi, and Orsolini are likely to support Castro, forming a dynamic attacking trio capable of troubling any defense.

Lazio’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Lazio approach this quarter-final in better form, having drawn 2-2 away to Juventus in their most recent outing. The Biancocelesti have been unbeaten in their last five away matches across all competitions, though they have scored only three goals in that span. Their Coppa Italia campaign began with a narrow victory over Milan, secured by a late strike from Zaccagni, demonstrating their resilience in knockout scenarios.

Statistically, Lazio’s recent performances show two wins, two draws, and one defeat from their last five games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. In the Coppa Italia, they have one win, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and none conceded. Despite several injury concerns — including the absences of Gila, Basic, Zaccagni, and Rovella — the visitors remain competitive. Daniel Maldini is expected to lead the line as a false nine, supported by Isaksen and Pedro, while Taylor, Cataldi, and Dele-Bashiru could form the midfield trio.

• At least one team failed to score at half time in 36 of Lazio’s last 38 matches.


• Under 0.5 goals have been recorded in 3 of their last 10 away matches.


• Under 0.5 goals have been recorded in 4 of their last 19 overall matches.

Lazio’s experience in this competition is notable — they have lifted the trophy seven times — and their familiarity with knockout football could prove decisive. However, their limited scoring output away from home remains a concern, especially against a Bologna side eager to react in front of their supporters.

Bologna vs Lazio Analysis and Prediction

This Coppa Italia quarter-final is expected to be a tightly contested affair. Bologna’s home advantage and desire to bounce back from recent setbacks could make them dangerous, particularly in a one-off elimination match. Lazio, on the other hand, bring greater stability and a solid defensive structure, though their attack has struggled to convert chances consistently.

The last league meeting between these two sides ended 1-1, reflecting the balance between them. Both teams have shown a tendency to concede, and with attacking players like Orsolini, Castro, Isaksen, and Pedro on the pitch, goals at both ends seem likely. Bologna’s need for a reaction and Lazio’s counter-attacking potential suggest an open and entertaining game.

Considering the statistical trends — Bologna’s frequent second-half goals and Lazio’s mixed away scoring record — the most plausible scenario points toward both teams finding the net at least once. The hosts will rely on their attacking depth to break through, while the visitors’ efficiency in key moments could keep them in contention until the final whistle.

Bologna vs Lazio prediction by BetMines:
Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 46% probability.