The upcoming Serie A clash between Bologna and Lazio promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the 30th round of the 2025/26 season. Scheduled for Sunday, March 22, 2026, this match at the Renato Dall’Ara will see two sides separated by just one position in the standings, with Bologna sitting eighth and Lazio ninth. Both teams are coming off positive results and will be eager to strengthen their European ambitions as the season enters its decisive phase.

Bologna’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Bologna arrive at this encounter in high spirits after a thrilling 3-3 draw against Roma in the Europa League, a result that secured their qualification for the quarter-finals. That achievement marked a historic milestone for the club, reaching a major European quarter-final for the first time since 1998/99. In Serie A, Bologna have shown solid consistency, with a record of 12 wins, 6 draws and 11 defeats, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match.

In their last five outings across all competitions, Bologna have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game while conceding 1.2. Their attacking intent has been particularly evident in the second half of matches: over 0.5 goals have been scored after the break in 20 of their last 22 fixtures, including 10 consecutive home games in Serie A. This trend highlights their ability to grow into matches and find breakthroughs as the game progresses.

Despite their recent success, Bologna’s home form has been somewhat inconsistent since December, with only one win and one draw in their last nine league games at the Dall’Ara. However, they remain unbeaten in their last six home Serie A meetings with Lazio, keeping a clean sheet in the last five. The team’s resilience and tactical discipline have been key to maintaining this positive record, and they will look to extend that streak on Sunday.

• Ranking: 8th in Serie A


• Last 5 matches: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat


• Average goals: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded


• Over 0.5 goals in second half: 20 of last 22 matches


• Head-to-head vs Lazio: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss

Lazio’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Lazio travel to Emilia-Romagna buoyed by a 1-0 victory over AC Milan, their second consecutive league win. That result kept them just two points behind Bologna in the standings. The Biancocelesti have shown defensive solidity this season, conceding an average of just one goal per game, but their attacking output has been modest, with only 1.0 goals scored on average per match.

In their last five fixtures, Lazio have mirrored Bologna’s record with two wins, two draws and one defeat. However, their away performances have been mixed: they have not won three consecutive league matches since November 2024 and have struggled to score on the road, finding the net only eight times away from home this season. Moreover, they have failed to score in five of their six away games against teams currently in the top half of the table.

Statistically, Lazio’s matches tend to be tight and low-scoring affairs. Under 1.5 goals have been recorded at half-time in each of their last 12 away fixtures, and at least one team has failed to score before the break in 37 of their last 40 matches overall. These numbers suggest a cautious approach, with the team often relying on defensive organization and patience rather than early attacking bursts.

• Ranking: 9th in Serie A


• Last 5 matches: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat


• Average goals: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded


• Under 1.5 goals at half-time: 12 consecutive away matches


• BTTS (Yes): 45% overall probability

Bologna vs Lazio Tactical Overview and Prediction

This fixture brings together two sides with contrasting dynamics. Bologna have been one of the most entertaining teams in Serie A this season, often involved in open, attacking games, while Lazio have built their recent success on defensive stability and efficiency. The home side’s attacking rhythm, especially in the second half, could be decisive against a Lazio team that tends to start cautiously and focus on containment.

Historically, this matchup has been balanced. The last head-to-head ended 1-1 on February 11, 2026, and Bologna have lost only once in their last five encounters with Lazio. Given the current form and the statistical trends, a low-scoring contest seems likely, with Bologna slightly favored due to their home advantage and recent momentum. Lazio’s difficulties in front of goal away from home could once again prove costly if they fail to convert their chances.

From a betting perspective, the data points toward a cautious game with limited scoring opportunities. The probability figures indicate a 44% chance of a Bologna win, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 27% chance of a Lazio win. Additionally, the Under 2.5 goals market appears dominant with a 61% probability, while Both Teams To Score – No stands at 55%.

Taking into account the recent performances, head-to-head record, and statistical indicators, the most reasonable forecast for this Serie A clash is a tight, tactical battle where Bologna’s home strength could make the difference.

Bologna vs Lazio prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 61% probability.