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Prediction published on Nov 7, 2025 12:18 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Nov 7, 2025 12:18 PM
On Sunday, November 9, at the Stadio Renato Dall’Ara, the highly anticipated Serie A Matchday 11 clash between Bologna and Napoli will take place, with both teams eager to bounce back after recent European disappointments. As has often been the case in recent seasons, the battle between the Rossoblù and the Partenopei will be crucial in the race for European qualification. The fifth-placed Bologna face the league leaders Napoli, separated by just four points in the standings. Vincenzo Italiano’s side are seeking a prestigious win to move past their disappointing Europa League draw against Brann, and to build on their impressive 3-1 victory at Parma last weekend. Antonio Conte’s Napoli, on the other hand, need a strong response after back-to-back goalless draws against Como and Eintracht Frankfurt — results that slowed their title charge and reignited the fight for the top spot. Both teams have plenty of motivation: Bologna want to confirm themselves among the top contenders in Serie A, while Napoli must defend their Scudetto title and send a strong message to their rivals by securing a victory on one of the toughest away grounds in Italy.
Bologna are coming off a nine-game unbeaten run, though they stumbled on Thursday, November 6, drawing 0-0 at home against Brann in the Europa League. The match was heavily influenced by Lykogiannis’ red card after just 23 minutes, complicating Bologna’s qualification prospects.
In their last five games across all competitions, the Rossoblù have recorded 2 wins and 3 draws, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. In their most recent Serie A fixture, played on November 2, Bologna triumphed 3-1 away to Parma, thanks to Castro’s first professional brace and a late goal from Miranda.
After ten Serie A rounds, Vincenzo Italiano’s men sit fifth with 18 points, earned from 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 16 goals and conceding 8. Bologna are unbeaten at home in six matches and have lost only once in their last 14 Serie A games at the Dall’Ara.
Antonio Conte’s side underperformed on Tuesday, November 4, managing only a 0-0 home draw against Eintracht Frankfurt in the UEFA Champions League group stage. For the Partenopei, it was the second consecutive goalless draw following the one against Como.
The defending Serie A champions have shown inconsistency lately: in their last five matches, they’ve recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. After conceding seven goals across two matches against PSV and Inter, Napoli’s defense has started to stabilize, keeping three consecutive clean sheets.
Napoli, top of Serie A with 22 points (7 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats), have never been convincing away from the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium. Their 1-0 win at Lecce on October 28 ended a run of four straight away defeats, during which they had conceded 11 goals and scored only 3.
The Serie A Matchday 11 encounter between Bologna and Napoli is shaping up to be one of the most balanced fixtures of the weekend. According to BetMines predictions, Bologna have a 40% chance of winning, while Napoli’s chances stand at 31%.
Recent head-to-head records confirm the balance: in their last five meetings, both teams have won once each, with three draws. Last season’s clash at the Dall’Ara ended 1-1, with goals from Anguissa and Ndoye (now at Nottingham Forest).
Considering Bologna’s solid form and their strong home advantage — they remain unbeaten at the Dall’Ara this season — BetMines tips the Double Chance 1X bet, predicting either a Bologna win or a draw.
From a tactical standpoint, this could be a cautious match with few scoring opportunities. Bologna have failed to score in their last two home games (against Torino and Brann), while Napoli have found the net only once in their past three outings. For this reason, the Under 2.5 goals and “Both teams to score – No” markets appear to be the most likely outcomes based on recent trends.
Both sides will also have to deal with key absences: Bologna will be without their deep-lying playmaker Freuler, while Napoli are missing Lukaku and De Bruyne — two crucial elements in Conte’s attacking system.
Among the players to watch, keep an eye on Riccardo Orsolini, already with six goals this season, and Rasmus Højlund, who is determined to end his Serie A goal drought of over a month.
BOLOGNA (4-2-3-1): Skorupski; Holm, Heggem, Lucumì, Miranda; Ferguson, Moro; Orsolini, Odgaard, Cambiaghi; Castro. Coach: Italiano
NAPOLI (4-3-3): Milinkovic; Di Lorenzo, Rrahmani, Buongiorno, Gutierrez; Anguissa, Lobotka, McTominay; Politano, Højlund, Elmas. Coach: Conte
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Bologna
Napoli
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1