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Prediction published on Apr 23, 2026 7:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Apr 23, 2026 7:01 PM
The 34th round of Serie A brings an intriguing clash between Bologna and Roma, scheduled for Saturday, April 25, 2026, at 18:00. The home side appear to have lost their grip on the European race, while the visitors remain fully engaged in the battle for a Champions League spot. With both teams coming off mixed results, this encounter could play a decisive role in shaping their final positions in the league table.
Bologna enter this fixture sitting in eighth place in Serie A, ten points adrift of the top six. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with two consecutive defeats — a 4-0 loss to Aston Villa in Europe and a 2-0 defeat against Juventus in the league — leaving them in need of a response. The team has recorded 14 wins, 6 draws, and 13 losses this season, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match.
At home, Bologna’s record shows six victories, two draws, and eight defeats, with only one win in their last five home games. Despite these struggles, their matches tend to feature late action: over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of each of their last 14 home games and in 22 of their last 24 Serie A fixtures overall. However, goal totals have remained moderate, with under 3.5 goals recorded in each of their last 11 league matches.
The team’s recent setbacks have also been compounded by injuries. Federico Bernardeschi is sidelined with a muscle injury, while Skorupski remains unavailable. On a positive note, Dominguez has returned to full training, and Rowe could feature after a solid performance against Juventus. Bologna will look to their home support to reignite their campaign and end the season on a positive note.
Roma currently occupy sixth place in Serie A, five points behind the Champions League qualification zone. Their latest outing ended in a 1-1 draw against Atalanta, a result that extended their run to just two wins in their last seven league matches. Over the course of the season, Roma have collected 18 wins, 4 draws, and 11 defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Offensively, the Giallorossi have been consistent, finding the net in each of their last 12 matches. They also tend to produce action after the break, with over 0.5 goals in the second half in 19 of their last 20 games. However, their away form remains a concern: Roma have not won any of their last seven away fixtures, though they have scored in six of them, earning three draws. Against mid-table sides, however, they have been more reliable, winning seven of ten matches against teams outside the top seven.
In terms of squad news, Paulo Dybala could make his long-awaited return after three months out, having rejoined group training. Wesley is also back with the team, while Koné continues to train separately. Ferguson is out for the season, and both Dovbik and Pellegrini remain unavailable. Despite off-field tensions between the coach and the sporting director, Roma will aim to stay focused on securing a crucial away result.
Historically, this fixture has been evenly balanced. In their last five head-to-head meetings, Bologna have one win, Roma one, and three have ended in draws, including a 3-3 thriller earlier this season. Both sides average 1.4 goals scored and conceded in these encounters, suggesting another tight contest could be on the cards.
Bologna’s home matches often feature controlled tempo and limited goal totals, while Roma’s attacking consistency could test the hosts’ defensive structure. Given Bologna’s tendency to concede in the second half and Roma’s ability to score late, the match may hinge on endurance and tactical adjustments after the break. The home side’s motivation to end their losing streak could balance Roma’s superior league position, making this a potentially close and hard-fought battle.
Based on the statistical trends and probabilities, the BetMines prediction for this Serie A clash leans towards a Double Chance 1X outcome. Bologna’s resilience at home and Roma’s struggles away from home suggest that the hosts are capable of avoiding defeat in front of their supporters.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Bologna
Roma
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
9
1
7
3