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Prediction published on Nov 25, 2025 11:04 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Nov 25, 2025 11:04 PM
Bologna and Salzburg meet in a crucial Europa League fixture on Thursday, November 27, 2025. The Italian side will aim to consolidate their playoff position, while the Austrian visitors seek to climb out of the lower ranks of the group standings. Bologna currently sit 24th in the Europa League ranking, four places above Salzburg, and come into this match in excellent domestic form. The encounter at the Stadio Renato Dall’Ara promises to be an intriguing battle between two teams with contrasting European fortunes.
Bologna have been one of the most consistent Italian sides this season, showing remarkable defensive solidity and balance. In their last five matches across all competitions, they have recorded three wins and two draws, remaining unbeaten. During this run, they have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game while conceding just 0.2 goals on average. Their most recent outing was a convincing 3-0 away win over Udinese on November 22, 2025, which further boosted their confidence ahead of this European clash.
At home, Bologna have been difficult to beat, though their Europa League campaign has seen them draw both fixtures at the Dall’Ara. The most recent home match ended goalless against Brann, underlining both their defensive strength and occasional attacking inefficiency. Despite this, Bologna’s overall record remains impressive: they are unbeaten in their last 11 matches in all competitions and have kept four clean sheets in their last five games. Such form makes them strong contenders to finally secure their first home victory in the Europa League this season.
Statistically, Bologna’s matches tend to be tight affairs. Only two of their last ten home games have ended with fewer than 0.5 total goals, and the same applies to their last ten overall matches. This shows that while they are defensively disciplined, they also manage to find the net consistently enough to control games. Their recent domestic wins over Napoli and Udinese highlight a team that is not only organized but also capable of producing decisive attacking moments when needed.
Salzburg approach this fixture with mixed results. Their European campaign started poorly with three consecutive defeats, but they managed to revive their hopes with a 2-0 win over Go Ahead Eagles in their most recent Europa League outing. However, inconsistency continues to plague the Austrian side, as shown by their 3-2 defeat to WSG Tirol in the domestic league on November 23, 2025. That loss extended their winless streak to two matches and exposed defensive vulnerabilities that Bologna will look to exploit.
In their last five matches, Salzburg have registered two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Their attacking output remains strong, but their defensive record away from home is concerning. In European competition, Salzburg have lost three of their last four away matches, and they have struggled to maintain clean sheets on the road. Nevertheless, their games tend to be entertaining: Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 11 matches, and the same trend extends to their last 18 away fixtures.
Another notable pattern is Salzburg’s second-half performance. There have been goals after the break in each of their last 22 matches, suggesting that they often grow into games and find scoring opportunities later on. However, their defensive lapses in the same period have cost them valuable points, particularly against teams with strong home records like Bologna.
This first-ever meeting between Bologna and Salzburg brings together two sides with contrasting strengths. Bologna’s defensive organization and home advantage make them the favorites, while Salzburg’s attacking flair could still pose problems if given space. The Italians will likely rely on their compact structure and quick transitions, aiming to capitalize on Salzburg’s defensive instability. Meanwhile, the Austrian side will attempt to impose their high-tempo style, hoping to exploit any gaps left by Bologna’s full-backs.
Given Bologna’s recent form and Salzburg’s inconsistency away from home, this match could follow a familiar pattern: Bologna controlling possession and Salzburg looking to counter. The hosts’ ability to keep clean sheets could prove decisive, especially against a side that has struggled to convert chances in key moments. Expect Bologna to maintain their unbeaten run, with their defensive resilience once again playing a central role.
Bologna vs Salzburg prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is a Bologna win (1) with a 43% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 27%, while a Salzburg win (2) stands at 30%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Bologna
Salzburg
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
9
1
9
1